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To: traderrob6

7/100’s of a % death rate compared to 1.8% worldwide.....impressive.
+++++
Yes that is very good. But most people don’t end up in the hospital after they are infected. I’ve heard 10% to 20%. if so that would take your .7% down by a factor of 5 to 10 for the full population of infected persons.

Gotta love this anecdotal treatment.


10 posted on 03/30/2020 8:28:23 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: InterceptPoint

In NYC, about 22% of those infected are hospitalized:

https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-hospitalizations.pdf

NYC is an exception, though, based on:
1. Population density average (28,210 per square mile); however, Manhattan’s density is 70,826 per square mile.
2. The ill-advised encouragement by the head of their health department to Chinatown to go ahead and celebrate the Chinese New Year.
3. Hundreds, maybe thousands of people living close together in one building.
4. The lack of open air.

Compare that to Los Angeles:
1. Population density of 7,815 per square mile.
2. Downtown and suburban areas have much more open air.
3. Many people live in suburban areas where the population is much-less dense.

Having people walking closely together in an enclosed area such as NYC with huge “walls” (aka buildings), sharing cabs, and living in very close proximity is a disaster waiting to happen.

For comparison:

NYC infections and deaths: 33,768 / 678
LA infections and deaths: 1818 / 32

Source: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6?ocid=eventhub

But face it: most of us would not mind if we were hospitalized as long as we did not die and came through unscathed. So the critical percentage is (assuming everyone who died was in the hospital - fairly reasonable assumption), “Using the total number of infections for the calculation, what is the percentage of people who die from Covid-19?”

About 1.4%. Of course many more people are hospitalized, but they apparently are being released when their symptoms improve.


47 posted on 03/30/2020 10:19:23 AM PDT by DennisR (Look around. God gives countless clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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