U.S. COVID-19 DEATH RATE REMAINS LOW

Powerline ^ | March 28,2020 | JOHN HINDERAKER

[Hojczyk]

The total number of Wuhan virus cases in the US surpassed the total in any other country yesterday. It is no surprise the media and their Democratic allies are using this data to cudgel the White House and mislead Americans. But anyone with fifth grade math (which apparently excludes most of the media) knows how irrelevant and misleading such a comparison is.

As we have pointed out, the only way to compare the status of the pandemic across countries is to analyze the number of deaths and cases on a per capita basis. The number of deaths per capita is most important, but per capita case rates provide a leading indicator that is also important to watch.

Despite what the media would like everyone to believe, this past week continues to bring good news for Americans. The number of per capita deaths reported in the United States remains amongst the lowest in the world. As of today, the US has recorded 5 deaths per million from the Wuhan virus, one-fifth of the total in Western European countries as a whole. Only Germany and Norway are recording lower deaths per capita, and that is only by a small fraction.

case numbers is that they largely reflect the amount of testing that has been done. Brian continues:

With the significant ramp in US testing (526,000 tests were run this past week), it is also reasonable to start comparing relative per capita case rates across countries. Again, the US is doing well relative to Western Europe. Except for the UK, the US has fewer reported cases per capita than every Western European country

[trebb]

Yep - they are all developing severe cases of Stockholm Syndrome and begging to be totally controlled out of complete, mindless terror that others have succeeded in infusing in them.

[FormerFRLurker]

As if by magic (or by CPC decree), their curve of new case diagnoses became flat. In reality, that is not possible.

All infection curves flatten out after the disease has been successfully contained. Ours will too eventually. South Korea's curve is flattening too. Does that mean South Korea is lying to us too?

https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?fbclid=IwAR2NQAFsqvbrVYvvkx59T8TNM1nmZJoaV8b-iKgGrKmXa-1DIRO-hUYF07c

Flattening the curve does not mean China isn't still reporting new cases, just that the rate of increase is not as high as before.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

[lepton]

U.S. COVID-19 DEATH RATE REMAINS LOW

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Define “low”.
Why do you choose that point for your definition?

This is just putting the goalpost on wheels.

[lepton]

Cuomo screamed we need 40,000 ventilators!

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Of course he does. Because production is magic.

Of course it was NYS and NYCs job to prepare, and they didn’t try and fail, but rather they avoided even trying. Now they are overshooting demands that someone else pay for their stuff.

[lepton]

All infection curves flatten out after the disease has been successfully contained. Ours will too eventually. South Korea’s curve is flattening too. Does that mean South Korea is lying to us too?

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South Korea has been lauded for weeks for its comprehensive testing. In the early stages their death/cases rate was very low as well. Then it stabilized at around 0.4% as it turned the corner at the beginning of March.

With relatively few new cases that death rate has continued to creep up.

Date cases dead rec death/cases
3/22 8897 104 2909 1.12%
3/23 8961 111 3166 1.24%
3/24 9037 120 3507 1.33%
3/25 9137 126 3730 1.38%
3/26 9241 131 4144 1.42%
3/27 9332 139 4528 1.49%
3/28 9478 144 4811 1.52%

S Korea finally crossed under 50% of identified cases being still sick, Friday. Deaths/resolved has passed just under 3%, and the convergence of that arc and of the deaths/case arc looks to be at about 2.2%.

Hopefully the new treatments can pull that down by avoiding the otherwise expected deaths.