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To: Sooth2222

As if by magic (or by CPC decree), their curve of new case diagnoses became flat. In reality, that is not possible.

All infection curves flatten out after the disease has been successfully contained. Ours will too eventually. South Korea's curve is flattening too. Does that mean South Korea is lying to us too?

https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?fbclid=IwAR2NQAFsqvbrVYvvkx59T8TNM1nmZJoaV8b-iKgGrKmXa-1DIRO-hUYF07c

Flattening the curve does not mean China isn't still reporting new cases, just that the rate of increase is not as high as before.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

102 posted on 03/29/2020 8:38:35 AM PDT by FormerFRLurker (Keep calm and vote your conscience.)
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To: FormerFRLurker

All infection curves flatten out after the disease has been successfully contained. Ours will too eventually. South Korea’s curve is flattening too. Does that mean South Korea is lying to us too?


South Korea has been lauded for weeks for its comprehensive testing. In the early stages their death/cases rate was very low as well. Then it stabilized at around 0.4% as it turned the corner at the beginning of March.

With relatively few new cases that death rate has continued to creep up.

Date cases dead rec death/cases
3/22 8897 104 2909 1.12%
3/23 8961 111 3166 1.24%
3/24 9037 120 3507 1.33%
3/25 9137 126 3730 1.38%
3/26 9241 131 4144 1.42%
3/27 9332 139 4528 1.49%
3/28 9478 144 4811 1.52%

S Korea finally crossed under 50% of identified cases being still sick, Friday. Deaths/resolved has passed just under 3%, and the convergence of that arc and of the deaths/case arc looks to be at about 2.2%.

Hopefully the new treatments can pull that down by avoiding the otherwise expected deaths.


105 posted on 03/29/2020 1:43:01 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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