Posted on 03/28/2020 8:44:39 AM PDT by Texas Fossil
There is room for different interpretations of the data
In announcing the most far-reaching restrictions on personal freedom in the history of Britain nation, Prime Minister Boris Johnson resolutely followed the scientific advice that he had been given. The advisers to the UK government seem calm and collected, with a solid consensus among them. In the face of a new viral threat, with numbers of cases surging daily, I’m not sure that any prime minister would have acted very differently.
But I’d like to raise some perspectives that have hardly been aired in the past weeks, and which point to an interpretation of the figures rather different from that which the government is acting on. I’m a recently-retired Professor of Pathology and National Health Service consultant pathologist, and have spent most of my adult life in healthcare and science — fields which, all too often, are characterized by doubt rather than certainty. There is room for different interpretations of the current data. If some of these other interpretations are correct, or at least nearer to the truth, then conclusions about the actions required will change correspondingly.
The simplest way to judge whether we have an exceptionally lethal disease is to look at the death rates. Are more people dying than we would expect to die anyway in a given week or month? Statistically, we would expect about 51,000 to die in Britain this month. At the time of writing, 422 deaths are linked to COVID-19 so 0.8 percent of that expected total. On a global basis, we’d expect 14 million to die over the first three months of the year. The world’s 18,944 coronavirus deaths represent 0.14 percent of that total. These figures might shoot up but they are, right now, lower than other infectious diseases that we live with (such as flu).
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.us ...
BS
That’s racist....cronos will come for your head..lol
Will China Profit from the Outbreak?...
https://www.wionews.com/videos/gravitas-wuhan-coronavirus-will-china-profit-from-the-outbreak-289014...
And Yuan drops in value, so yes, they do profit...
Yes, sir.
Some things never change.
As far as the media is concerned? Like Rush says when things don’t make sense: “Follow the Money”.
All the Media hates Trump, because he got elected on the cheap and destroy their opposition.
I don’t see dead people...I see shapeshifters, CRIMINALS, SCUMBAGS.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cAxEQYqo7no
A personal anecdote that may mean nothing:
Back in January, we picked up a nasty little bug from a family member of my wife’s, who had been traveling. I’m no saying it was this, just a thought.
We of course, got it.
It hit my wife and son quite hard. 2+ weeks for full recovery.
It barely touched my daughter and I. Less than a week of minor symptoms.
My daughter and I are type O.
My wife and son are type A.
Great point!
Peter Pan mentality too.
“BS”
Which the ibuprofen or the Type A...?
We farm and I love to garden and cook.
I still shoot well, can reload and am remarrying next month to a much younger woman. She shoots well too. smile.
(my wife of 47 years died of a heart attack in 2018. I was holding her when she died.)
It’s super deadly when you deny patients of the very successful known treatment as they are doing in the United States.
Well, it MAY mean something. It certainly fits.
It means there is a glut of toilet paper in people's homes.
The markets will likely end up having far to much toilet paper for the next year.
Hysteria hasn't gone away. I was banned from texting anything at all on themtube for what think was a reasonable argument
My comment was tongue in cheek although there really was toilet paper and for the reason you said. The fools have no more room to store it. You’re right about the coming glut as well so expect to see some huge sales on TP in the near future.
Costco put out a statement a few day ago that they would not make refunds on returned toilet paper.
Talk to a real doctor whose in a real hospital yesterday as I was fixing his solar system , and he said the SARS one had a death rate of about 10% and this is way more like 1% AT the tops - but it should be taken seriously
He said all elective surgeries at his hospital we’re being postponed
OH, you foolish man.
Just wait two weeks, then you'll see how bad it is.
AND the oceans will flood all of Florida too.
Germany's death rate is rising. It is 0.7% now: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Yes, and the female governor of Illinois is warning pharmacists and doctors to not prescribe it to anyone with corona virus.
Criminal act that is inexcusable and should be prosecuted as murder.
Pure political noise.
It is all in how you define the case number. If 1/2 of the cases go undetected because if they are asymptomatic and the deaths are assigned as due to corona when they had many existing prior serious medical problems the numbers make more sense.
OK. China indicated that, but the real population of cases is understated and the cause of deal is often hard to verify with existence of multiple illnesses.
Initially, from Chinese stats for Wuhan it looked like 30% fatality (dead/dead+cured numbers) Outside Wuhan it was closer to 15%.
Then the numbers started to tone out. And just kept shrinking.
I have to tell my wife that. She will laugh
thanks
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