Posted on 03/28/2020 5:43:14 AM PDT by jazminerose
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the health specialist on the coronavirus task force, has said the virus’s mortality rate is closer to that of a bad case of the flu. In a Thursday report published by the New England Journal of Medicine, Fauci conceded COVID-19’s death rate was twice that of the common flu, making it roughly 0.28 percent.
That rate is exceptionally low, especially when compared to that of the SARS and MERS epidemics, which peaked at 9 percent and 36 percent respectively.
His latest comments marked a major about-face for Fauci, who previously claimed the coronavirus was 10 times as deadly as the flu.
“The seasonal flu that we deal with every year has a mortality of 0.1 percent,” he said. “I think if you count all the cases of minimally symptomatic or asymptomatic infection, that probably brings the mortality rate down to somewhere around 1 percent, which means it is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu.”
From a Google search:
Cruise Ship Doctors. Ships from the main cruise lines all will have at least one doctor and two nurses onboard. Many larger ships sail with two doctors and three or four nurses. According to American College of Emergency Physician guidelines, ships must have medical staff on call 24 hours.
Thanks.
They probably get a free cruise. It was probably a good deal before corona.
“The population of the U.S. is estimated to be about 332,630,000. So the 2.3 percent in the latest poll would translate to more than 7.65 million people.”
So what you are saying is that CCP-19 has surpassed the worst-case, in-season flu fatality daily rate by 50% and only 2.3% of the population were diagnosed with CCP-19?
Well, I am not going to quibble over whether it’s 1% or 2.3% or some other tiny percentage, but I’d want to check the internals of that poll if it were me counting on it to prove the other guy’s main point.
20% of the population get the flu every year. We have vaccines and some herd immunity, so it keeps the infected numbers down. Nobody has been exposed to CCP-19 before the past few months, and we have no vaccine, so no herd immunity at all.
About a 10th as many people have been diagnosed with CCP-19, your study claims, but people are dying at a rate 1.5 times the bad flu on a bad flu day. (Why are they not in the national stats? Maybe it’s you or your poll that are full of it. But, what ever, dude.) Assuming this spreads only as much as the flu, to a mere 20% of the population, it will still crash our healthcare system - even if we stretch it out for the equivalent of a full flu season. Because our HCS is scaled for a 100% flu season, not a 150% flu season.
Again, why are the stats this poll implies not reflected in the national data? With 7.65 million cases there should be about 150,000 surplus unexplained bodies somewhere, 375,000 unavailable ICU beds and a 1.5 million hospital bed shortage. Where? They haven’t even done 1,000,000 tests nationwide, yet (maybe about that, now), how could there be 7.65 million diagnosed cases? Unless everything they have told us in the news conferences, government reporting and even all of the media and all of the foreign data sources is completely false. So, yeah, I question your “poll”. A lot. And you.
“You don’t know that either. You’re still guessing and claiming to foretell the future.”
I am, indeed making predictions. Got a crystal ball of your own?
But my foretelling of the future, sadly, has been pretty on track. You know, that math stuff.
I believe those numbers....thankfully we are not China....
if you wanted the wanted a random test the Diamond Princess was not it....people were all mostly all very elderly...
do we have wet markets in the US?....you know, where people walk down an alley with screaming dogs and cats waiting to be sliced open?...where dead bats are lined up for dinner?..where there is blood in the gutter?......
You haven’t been to New York City recently, I can see.
somebody is judging the figures and not releasing info as it comes in...
the state govt of Washington state are happy to not report numbers so we the rabble can continue on with this charade.....
You want to assume the worst about the virus. It's some physiological defect you have.
READ IT:
https://www.upi.com/Health_News/2020/03/16/80-of-COVID-19-spreads-from-people-who-dont-know-they-are-sick/7771584372104/
March 16 (UPI) -- People who don't know they have the new coronavirus may be unintentionally driving the spread of it, an analysis published Monday in the journal Science suggests.
Using data from China -- where the COVID-19 outbreak originated -- epidemiologists developed a mathematical model of infectious disease spread. The model estimates nearly 80 percent of confirmed cases of the disease originated from so-called "undocumented" cases, or those who experienced mild, limited or no symptoms and went undiagnosed as a result.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-unknowns-explainer/what-we-dont-yet-know-about-the-coronavirus-idUSKBN21F0GK
Some researchers estimate that up to 80% of people who are infected show no or only mild symptoms and may not even know they are sick. That would put the number of people who might have been infected in the millions. But we need many more studies and much more testing to close in on a more accurate number.
Using data from China..........you lost me right there!!!
Nice try...But China isn’t putting out data that makes its case and death numbers appear underreported.
You are kidding....right???
China isn’t putting out false data that makes its lies about the number of cases and deaths look less credible than they already do. Get it?
I’m wondering now about George Webb’s theory of at least two strains of the virus. One a more deadly one where lots die. This one not as prevalent as the other which is the one where you can have the flu and not even know it.The deadly strain could explain the increase in deaths while still dealing with a newer version of the flu.
Just a guess I’m not a research doctor nor do I play one.
I love that graph, esp. the one regarding deaths. Number of cases is almost meaningless, due to its dependence on testing.
But around forty percent of US deaths are in NY. I think that if you were to pull out NY and make the presentation as deaths per million population, the US would be tracking pretty low in the array.
Even more amazing is that Kevin SHipp, cia whistle blower, and Jason Goodman, you tube host, made the rounds in NYC recently and had a hard time finding the overworked or filled to capacity hospitals. Didn’t seem to exist. Was it just a fluke.Did they look in the all wrong places or is there more,we may never know.
I wouldn’t assume we can trust all of the data coming out of our own country either.
Look how Fauci was spouting bogus WHO data until Trump outed him.
Do you think it’s just going to stay high in NY?
Did it stay in Wuhan? Milan? Madrid?
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