[Paladin2]

I think the models are likely good.

Their parameters are largely unknown.

Initial conditions are not a big factor in the outcomes.

Where does Brix get the data to estimate “new” parameters?

[SmokingJoe]

I think the models are likely good.
Their parameters are largely unknown.

The parameters are unknown but somehow the models are good?
How did Imperial College's Neil Ferguson prediction model of a massive 500,000 deaths in the UK work out?

[RightGuy]

Wow, just wow. (Shaking head...)

Try reading. Your questions are truly Bidenesque.

[bert]

She has data down to the county level

She knows without guessing

[DrewsMum]

The models are literally impossible. One they used said the u.s. would have 11M cases in march. That was published on march 24. Wth?