Country/Region | Population (MM) | Confirmed Cases 3/25/2020 | Standardized Cases 3/25/2020 | Rank by Confirmed Cases Mar 25 | Rank by Standardized Cases Mar 25 |
Austria | 9.0 | 5,588 | 205,337 | 14 | 6 |
Belgium | 11.5 | 4,937 | 140,788 | 15 | 10 |
California | 39.5 | 2,998 | 24,968 | 18 | 22 |
China | 1433.8 | 82,803 | 19,004 | 1 | 23 |
Denmark | 5.8 | 1,724 | 98,288 | 21 | 13 |
Florida | 21.5 | 1,682 | 25,770 | 22 | 21 |
France | 65.1 | 25,233 | 127,489 | 10 | 11 |
Germany | 83.5 | 37,323 | 147,056 | 6 | 9 |
Hubei | 58.5 | 67,801 | 381,383 | 3 | 4 |
Iran | 82.9 | 27,017 | 107,224 | 9 | 12 |
Italy | 60.6 | 74,386 | 404,258 | 2 | 3 |
Korea, South | 51.2 | 9,137 | 58,695 | 13 | 17 |
Massachusetts | 6.9 | 1,838 | 87,031 | 20 | 14 |
New Jersey | 8.9 | 4,402 | 163,084 | 16 | 8 |
New York | 19.5 | 30,841 | 521,688 | 8 | 1 |
Norway | 5.4 | 3,084 | 188,671 | 17 | 7 |
Pennsylvania | 12.8 | 1,260 | 32,387 | 23 | 20 |
Spain | 46.7 | 49,515 | 348,626 | 5 | 5 |
Sweden | 10.0 | 2,526 | 82,821 | 19 | 15 |
Switzerland | 8.6 | 10,897 | 417,375 | 11 | 2 |
Texas | 29.0 | 1,229 | 13,948 | 24 | 24 |
United Kingdom | 67.5 | 9,529 | 46,433 | 12 | 18 |
US | 329.1 | 65,778 | 65,778 | 4 | 16 |
US excl NY | 309.6 | 34,937 | 37,132 | 7 | 19 |
Despite the sequential double-digit growth rate in US Confirmed Cases, the relative ranking of the US' standardized case count remains relatively low. The US was at 16th on this list when you adjust for the population, vs 4th in absolute terms. Further, if you remove New York (which is accounting makes up about 6% of the total population but 47% of the total US case count), the US is the 19th lowest out of these 24 select countries/states. Indeed, NY State is now the size-adjusted case count leader in this selection of countries/regions/states.
So deaths are around 1 per million and almost all have underlying diseases.
Using the incidence per million chart, the average Cov-19 incidence is 0.0556% of the population; slightly more than 1/2 of 1/10th of 1% of the population.
For the U.S. the figure would be 0.0210% of the population; or just a little more than 2/100ths of 1%.
Recent data for Covid-19 cases as of 3-19-20 7AM alongside the increased number of tests, plus death rates for the 2017-18 flu (you must do the math). This table will not be updated until cases and deaths decrease.
Below is a list of states per currently reported COVID-19 infections (from Politico via The COVID Tracking Project as of 3-19-20 7:25 AM EDT. CNN reports higher numbers but not the death or testing numbers) in comparison with population size and number of tests. The latter is important since the rate of infections must be compared with the degree of tests in order to determine the rate of transmission. Both can be compared with the population size as well as the percent of infections per capita. You use an online calculator such as here but which I have not done.
For Covid, the NYT (3-13) sounded this alarm: Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die. (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html)
Meanwhile, although Covid-19 has hardly competed its run, yet for comparison with the flu we have the morality rate for the flu per state for the 2017-2018 season and total deaths, the latter of which I have provided along side the Covid-19 counts in the table below. Additional stats on the current 2019-2020 flu season are provided below the table. Also, most of the names of the states in the table are listed according to how they were first ordered in a report by CNN in a 3-13 report of cases, which was the basis for my first version of this compilation.
And according to estimates, between 61,000 to 80,000 Americans died during the 2017-2018 season, the latter being the highest death toll in 40 years. During that 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018, (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm) with older Americans dying at a rate of 169 Americans a day, or seven people per hour. (https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2018/older-flu-deaths-rising.html
Below the table are also some stats on other causes of death.
In any case, I pray that this crisis, both real and inflated, works to bring souls to realize the need for help from above, for repentance and mercy from God through faith in the risen Lord Jesus, thanks be to God for all.
State |
Population |
COVID-19 cases |
Percent of infections per capita (you do the math) |
Tests |
Test increase since last week |
Deaths from COVID-19 (3-18-20) |
Deaths from Flu in 2017-2018 (last available data from CDC) |
New York |
19,453,561 |
2382 |
|
14597 |
+14193 |
12 |
4,749 |
Washington (27 tied to one nursing home ) |
7,614,893 |
1012 |
|
14129 |
+10726 |
52 |
930 |
California |
39,512,223 |
690 |
|
8592 |
+7474 |
13 |
6,917 |
Massachusetts |
6,949,503 |
256 |
2,271 |
+2,176 |
0 |
1,441 |
|
Colorado |
5,758,736 |
183 |
|
1,800 |
+1,457 |
2 |
568 |
Georgia |
10,617,423 |
183 |
|
1,508 |
+1,477 |
1 |
1,530 |
Florida |
21,477,737 |
314 |
|
2493 |
+2013 |
7 |
3.091 |
Illinois |
12,671,821 |
288 |
|
2052 |
+1,685 |
1 |
2,564 |
New Jersey |
8,882,190 |
427 |
|
638 |
+514 |
5 |
1,465 |
Texas |
28,995,881 |
83 |
|
1,907 |
+1,884 |
2 |
3,516 |
Oregon |
4,217,737 |
75 |
|
1,554 |
+1,187 |
3 |
530 |
Pennsylvania |
12,801,989 |
133 |
|
1,320 |
+1,101 |
0 |
2,887 |
Iowa |
3,155,070 |
29 |
|
128 |
+23 |
0 |
697 |
Louisiana |
4,648,794 |
240 |
|
575 |
+524 |
6 |
824 |
Maryland |
6,045,680 |
85 |
|
179 |
+73 |
0 |
973 |
North Carolina |
10,488,084 |
63 |
|
1,850 |
+1,778 |
0 |
2,064 |
District of Columbia |
705,749 |
39 |
|
|
|
0 |
N/A |
Indiana |
6,732,219 |
39 |
|
193 |
+129 |
2 |
1,118 |
Nebraska |
1,934,408 |
24 |
|
230 |
+107 |
0 |
394 |
South Carolina |
5,148,714 |
60 |
|
643 |
+585 |
1 |
882 |
Wisconsin |
5,822,434 |
106 |
|
1,683 |
+1,591 |
0 |
1,075 |
Arizona |
7,278,717 |
28 |
|
278 |
+163 |
0 |
1,116 |
Virginia |
8,535,519 |
77 |
|
1,278 |
+1,144 |
1 |
1.283 |
Kentucky |
4,467,673 |
35 |
|
380 |
+316 |
0 |
969 |
South Dakota |
884,659 |
11 |
|
913 |
+867 |
1 |
245 |
Nevada |
3,080,156 |
55 |
|
353 |
+178 |
1 |
527 |
Tennessee |
6,833,174 |
98 |
|
447 |
+350 |
0 |
1,646 |
Minnesota |
5,639,632 |
77 |
|
2,762 |
+2,446 |
0 |
698 |
New Hampshire |
1,359,711 |
26 |
|
747 |
+626 |
0 |
265 |
Rhode Island |
1,059,361 |
33 |
|
907 |
+800 |
0 |
192 |
New Mexico |
2,096,829 |
28 |
|
2,354 |
+2,194 |
0 |
365 |
Ohio |
11,689,100 |
77 |
|
551 |
+464 |
0 |
2,395 |
Connecticut |
3,565,287 |
68 |
|
193 |
+98 |
0 |
757 |
Utah |
3,205,958 |
63 |
|
194 |
+58 |
0 |
353 |
Hawaii |
1,415,872 |
14 |
|
119 |
+117 |
0 |
542 |
Michigan |
9,986,857 |
80 |
|
355 |
+235 |
0 |
1,869 |
Oklahoma |
3,956,971 |
29 |
|
517 |
+474 |
0 |
809 |
Vermont |
623,989 |
19 |
|
611 |
+512 |
0 |
87 |
Arkansas |
3,017,825 |
33 |
|
319 |
+269 |
0 |
670 |
Delaware |
973,764 |
25 |
|
76 |
+35 |
0 |
167 |
Kansas |
2,913,314 |
16 |
|
433 |
+388 |
1 |
630 |
Mississippi |
2,976,149 |
34 |
|
513 |
+471 |
0 |
910 |
Missouri |
6,137,428 |
13 |
|
266 |
+201 |
0 |
1,477 |
North Dakota |
762,062 |
6 |
|
274 |
+247 |
0 |
152 |
Wyoming |
578,759 |
15 |
|
193 |
+192 |
0 |
128 |
Alabama |
4,903,185 |
46 |
|
96 |
+86 |
0 |
1,268 |
Idaho |
1,792,065 |
9 |
|
468 |
+375 |
0 |
235 |
West Virginia |
1,787,147 |
2 |
|
137 |
+129 |
1 |
539 |
Maine |
1,344,212 |
43 |
|
1,713 |
+1,627 |
0 |
312 |
Montana |
1,068,778 |
10 |
|
509 |
+474 |
0 |
152 |
Alaska |
731,545 |
6 |
|
412 |
+352 |
0 |
68 |
Total (3-16) |
|
8,131 |
|
82,571 |
|
132 |
Over 80k. Above totals may be less. |
As for the 2019-2020 Flu season:
The overall cumulative hospitalization rate was 61.6 per 100,000 population which is higher than all recent seasons at this time of year except for the 2017-18 season. Rates in children 0-4 years old and adults 18-49 years old are now the highest CDC has on record for these age groups, surpassing the rate reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Hospitalization rates for school-aged children are higher than any recent regular season but lower than rates during the pandemic.
2019-2020 Season |
|
---|---|
Overall |
61.6 |
0-4 years |
88.9 |
5-17 years |
22.6 |
18-49 years |
32.8 |
50-64 years |
80.8 |
65+ years |
159.4 |
Among 2,867 hospitalized adults with information on underlying medical conditions, 92.3% had at least one reported underlying medical condition, the most commonly reported were cardiovascular disease, metabolic disorder, obesity, and chronic lung disease. Among 472 hospitalized children with information on underlying medical conditions, 48.3% had at least one underlying medical condition; the most commonly reported was asthma. Among 477 hospitalized women of childbearing age (15-44 years) with information on pregnancy status, 27.5% were pregnant. (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap)(Retrieved 3-17-20)