[DoodleBob]

I'm not saying BI is trolling FR, and certainly per capita analysis is nothing new...but an analysis that shows Confirmed Cases standardized by size was posted to FR on four days ago. Here is my latest update to the Confirmed Case Counts, adjusted/standardized for country population:

Country/Region	Population (MM)	Confirmed Cases 3/25/2020	Standardized Cases 3/25/2020	Rank by Confirmed Cases Mar 25	Rank by Standardized Cases Mar 25
Austria	9.0	5,588	205,337	14	6
Belgium	11.5	4,937	140,788	15	10
California	39.5	2,998	24,968	18	22
China	1433.8	82,803	19,004	1	23
Denmark	5.8	1,724	98,288	21	13
Florida	21.5	1,682	25,770	22	21
France	65.1	25,233	127,489	10	11
Germany	83.5	37,323	147,056	6	9
Hubei	58.5	67,801	381,383	3	4
Iran	82.9	27,017	107,224	9	12
Italy	60.6	74,386	404,258	2	3
Korea, South	51.2	9,137	58,695	13	17
Massachusetts	6.9	1,838	87,031	20	14
New Jersey	8.9	4,402	163,084	16	8
New York	19.5	30,841	521,688	8	1
Norway	5.4	3,084	188,671	17	7
Pennsylvania	12.8	1,260	32,387	23	20
Spain	46.7	49,515	348,626	5	5
Sweden	10.0	2,526	82,821	19	15
Switzerland	8.6	10,897	417,375	11	2
Texas	29.0	1,229	13,948	24	24
United Kingdom	67.5	9,529	46,433	12	18
US	329.1	65,778	65,778	4	16
US excl NY	309.6	34,937	37,132	7	19

Despite the sequential double-digit growth rate in US Confirmed Cases, the relative ranking of the US' standardized case count remains relatively low. The US was at 16th on this list when you adjust for the population, vs 4th in absolute terms. Further, if you remove New York (which is accounting makes up about 6% of the total population but 47% of the total US case count), the US is the 19th lowest out of these 24 select countries/states. Indeed, NY State is now the size-adjusted case count leader in this selection of countries/regions/states.

[bray]

So deaths are around 1 per million and almost all have underlying diseases.

[Wuli]

Using the incidence per million chart, the average Cov-19 incidence is 0.0556% of the population; slightly more than 1/2 of 1/10th of 1% of the population.

For the U.S. the figure would be 0.0210% of the population; or just a little more than 2/100ths of 1%.

[daniel1212]

And way before this was a chart for US states with cases compared to state pop,. size, and an invitation for readers to do the math, which char I have been waiting to update, by the grace of God, maybe when cases decrease.

Recent data for Covid-19 cases as of 3-19-20 7AM alongside the increased number of tests, plus death rates for the 2017-18 flu (you must do the math). This table will not be updated until cases and deaths decrease.

Below is a list of states per currently reported COVID-19 infections (from Politico via The COVID Tracking Project as of 3-19-20 7:25 AM EDT. CNN reports higher numbers but not the death or testing numbers) in comparison with population size and number of tests. The latter is important since the rate of infections must be compared with the degree of tests in order to determine the rate of transmission. Both can be compared with the population size as well as the percent of infections per capita. You use an online calculator such as here but which I have not done.

For Covid, the NYT (3-13) sounded this alarm: “Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.” (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html)

Meanwhile, although Covid-19 has hardly competed its run, yet for comparison with the flu we have the morality rate for the flu per state for the 2017-2018 season and total deaths, the latter of which I have provided along side the Covid-19 counts in the table below. Additional stats on the current 2019-2020 flu season are provided below the table. Also, most of the names of the states in the table are listed according to how they were first ordered in a report by CNN in a 3-13 report of cases, which was the basis for my first version of this compilation.

And according to estimates, between 61,000 to 80,000 Americans died during the 2017-2018 season, the latter being the highest death toll in 40 years. During that 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018, (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm) with older Americans dying at a rate of 169 Americans a day, or seven people per hour. (https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2018/older-flu-deaths-rising.html

Below the table are also some stats on other causes of death.

In any case, I pray that this crisis, both real and inflated, works to bring souls to realize the need for help from above, for repentance and mercy from God through faith in the risen Lord Jesus, thanks be to God for all.

State	Population	COVID-19 cases	Percent of infections per capita (you do the math)	Tests	Test increase since last week	Deaths from COVID-19 (3-18-20)	Deaths from Flu in 2017-2018 (last available data from CDC)
New York	19,453,561	2382		14597	+14193	12	4,749
Washington (27 tied to one nursing home )	7,614,893	1012		14129	+10726	52	930
California	39,512,223	690		8592	+7474	13	6,917
Massachusetts	6,949,503	256		2,271	+2,176	0	1,441
Colorado	5,758,736	183		1,800	+1,457	2	568
Georgia	10,617,423	183		1,508	+1,477	1	1,530
Florida	21,477,737	314		2493	+2013	7	3.091
Illinois	12,671,821	288		2052	+1,685	1	2,564
New Jersey	8,882,190	427		638	+514	5	1,465
Texas	28,995,881	83		1,907	+1,884	2	3,516
Oregon	4,217,737	75		1,554	+1,187	3	530
Pennsylvania	12,801,989	133		1,320	+1,101	0	2,887
Iowa	3,155,070	29		128	+23	0	697
Louisiana	4,648,794	240		575	+524	6	824
Maryland	6,045,680	85		179	+73	0	973
North Carolina	10,488,084	63		1,850	+1,778	0	2,064
District of Columbia	705,749	39				0	N/A
Indiana	6,732,219	39		193	+129	2	1,118
Nebraska	1,934,408	24		230	+107	0	394
South Carolina	5,148,714	60		643	+585	1	882
Wisconsin	5,822,434	106		1,683	+1,591	0	1,075
Arizona	7,278,717	28		278	+163	0	1,116
Virginia	8,535,519	77		1,278	+1,144	1	1.283
Kentucky	4,467,673	35		380	+316	0	969
South Dakota	884,659	11		913	+867	1	245
Nevada	3,080,156	55		353	+178	1	527
Tennessee	6,833,174	98		447	+350	0	1,646
Minnesota	5,639,632	77		2,762	+2,446	0	698
New Hampshire	1,359,711	26		747	+626	0	265
Rhode Island	1,059,361	33		907	+800	0	192
New Mexico	2,096,829	28		2,354	+2,194	0	365
Ohio	11,689,100	77		551	+464	0	2,395
Connecticut	3,565,287	68		193	+98	0	757
Utah	3,205,958	63		194	+58	0	353
Hawaii	1,415,872	14		119	+117	0	542
Michigan	9,986,857	80		355	+235	0	1,869
Oklahoma	3,956,971	29		517	+474	0	809
Vermont	623,989	19		611	+512	0	87
Arkansas	3,017,825	33		319	+269	0	670
Delaware	973,764	25		76	+35	0	167
Kansas	2,913,314	16		433	+388	1	630
Mississippi	2,976,149	34		513	+471	0	910
Missouri	6,137,428	13		266	+201	0	1,477
North Dakota	762,062	6		274	+247	0	152
Wyoming	578,759	15		193	+192	0	128
Alabama	4,903,185	46		96	+86	0	1,268
Idaho	1,792,065	9		468	+375	0	235
West Virginia	1,787,147	2		137	+129	1	539
Maine	1,344,212	43		1,713	+1,627	0	312
Montana	1,068,778	10		509	+474	0	152
Alaska	731,545	6		412	+352	0	68
Total (3-16)		8,131		82,571		132	Over 80k. Above totals may be less.

• As for the 2019-2020 Flu season:

The overall cumulative hospitalization rate was 61.6 per 100,000 population which is higher than all recent seasons at this time of year except for the 2017-18 season. Rates in children 0-4 years old and adults 18-49 years old are now the highest CDC has on record for these age groups, surpassing the rate reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Hospitalization rates for school-aged children are higher than any recent regular season but lower than rates during the pandemic.

2019-2020 Season Cumulative Rate per 100,000 Population
Overall	61.6
0-4 years	88.9
5-17 years	22.6
18-49 years	32.8
50-64 years	80.8
65+ years	159.4

• Among 2,867 hospitalized adults with information on underlying medical conditions, 92.3% had at least one reported underlying medical condition, the most commonly reported were cardiovascular disease, metabolic disorder, obesity, and chronic lung disease. Among 472 hospitalized children with information on underlying medical conditions, 48.3% had at least one underlying medical condition; the most commonly reported was asthma. Among 477 hospitalized women of childbearing age (15-44 years) with information on pregnancy status, 27.5% were pregnant. (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap)(Retrieved 3-17-20)