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Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) — United States
Center for Disease Control ^ | 03/26/2020 | CDC COVID-19 Response Team

Posted on 03/26/2020 7:42:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

Summary

What is already known about this topic?
Early data from China suggest that a majority of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths have occurred among adults aged ≥60 years and among persons with serious underlying health conditions.

What is added by this report?
This first preliminary description of outcomes among patients with COVID-19 in the United States indicates that fatality was highest in persons aged ≥85, ranging from 10% to 27%, followed by 3% to 11% among persons aged 65–84 years, 1% to 3% among persons aged 55-64 years, <1% among persons aged 20–54 years, and no fatalities among persons aged ≤19 years.

What are the implications for public health practice?
COVID-19 can result in severe disease, including hospitalization, admission to an intensive care unit, and death, especially among older adults. Everyone can take actions, such as social distancing, to help slow the spread of COVID-19 and protect older adults from severe illness.

(Excerpt) Read more at cdc.gov ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chinavirus; chinavirusinfo; chinavirusnews; coronavirus; covid19; hospitalization; severity
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Comparing this to yesterday's numbers from NY, the severity metrics for COVID-19 in NY (e.g. hospitalization admission rate, ICU admission rate, and fatality rate are dramatically lower than the CDC estimates from February-March 16. This is great news.
1 posted on 03/26/2020 7:42:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
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To: Tennessean4Bush

If I get the Wuhan flu, I’m buying some false ID


2 posted on 03/26/2020 7:45:11 PM PDT by Cold Heart (.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

They’ve gotten treatment protocols in place.

Great news.

Wonder how much of this decrease is due to MD’s using the HCQ/azi over the past week or so since Trump ‘grandstanded’ it at his press conference...


3 posted on 03/26/2020 7:47:35 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Well the bad news is that Covid-19 kills you deader than the other flus.


4 posted on 03/26/2020 8:06:20 PM PDT by BipolarBob (Send money. Bigfoot kidnapped my weed dealer and is holding him ransom.)
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To: LS
From the Independent article, here are the severity stats for NY as of yesterday (Wed 3/25/2020): From the article - "An update on New York state numbers shows 12 per cent of active Covid-19 cases have been hospitalised for the virus. About 3 per cent of cases are in the ICU, which is the area of main concern for people who become infected because that is where the patients need ventilators." From Worldometer - Fatalities are 466, Cases are 38977.

From the CDC article that covered data through Mar 16, the estimated severity rates were markedly higher (2449 cases):

So NY is significantly lower - by more than 50% - on hospitalization/severity actual metrics than the estimated metrics by CDC just last week. And those metrics through last week were lower than what all the "experts" were saying to expect.

I think it is safe to say that while this virus is very contagious, it is much less lethal and much less taxing on resources than most believed just last week. It is still lethal, and still very taxing on resources where the number of cases mushroom (like in NYC), but it is much less than was feared.

5 posted on 03/26/2020 8:17:03 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

“An update on New York state numbers shows 12 per cent of active Covid-19 cases have been hospitalised for the virus.”

How would they know who has had the virus?? That statement assumes they have tested every single person in New York and they have not.


6 posted on 03/26/2020 8:20:18 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: Black Agnes

“Wonder how much of this decrease is due to MD’s using the HCQ/azi over the past week or so since Trump ‘grandstanded’ it at his press conference...”

well, one thing we know, apparently a whole bunch of doctors believe it’s effective because they’ve created a nationwide shortage of this drug by writing prescriptions for THEMSELVES AND THEIR FAMILIES and have strip-mined the local pharmacies ...


7 posted on 03/26/2020 8:24:33 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: CodeToad

Yes, it is a good point. The denominator is only composed of those who have been confirmed as having COVID-19 and were tested. A good number of people weathered the virus well enough that they never went to a doctor or asked for a test. The death rate on this will end up being less than 1% when all the data comes in.


8 posted on 03/26/2020 8:29:44 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

The denominator is changing, as testing takes effect. Previously, ‘confirmed cases’ never included mild cases, which went unreported. The large majority of cases are considered mild; so leaving them out of the denominator inflated the CFR considerably. Now that testing is testing all cases, we’re getting better numbers.


9 posted on 03/26/2020 8:30:43 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Tennessean4Bush

You posted this, while I was composing my previous reply to you. Seems we made pretty much the same point.


10 posted on 03/26/2020 8:33:43 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

“Now that testing is testing all cases”

No, it is not.

ONLY those who report a narrow and specific set of symptoms are being tested. Many people, myself included, have reported flu-like symptoms that also included anosmia, the loss of smell, for more than a week. Those people are actively being excluded from testing. Some people don’t exhibit a fever, and they, too, are being excluded.


11 posted on 03/26/2020 8:37:36 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: Black Agnes

The decrease is due to an increase in testing. The denominator is significantly greater than a week ago.


12 posted on 03/26/2020 8:50:12 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Tennessean4Bush

CDC? tje criminal returns to the scene of his crime and spews pablum.


13 posted on 03/26/2020 8:56:58 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (We are governed by the consent of the governed and we are fools for allowing it.)
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To: BipolarBob

“Well the bad news is that Covid-19 kills you deader than the other flus.”

Really most sincerely dead?


14 posted on 03/26/2020 9:09:08 PM PDT by dsc (As for the foundations of the Catholic faith, this pontificate is an outrage to reason.)
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To: Sequoyah101

True!


15 posted on 03/26/2020 9:11:47 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: catnipman

I think you’re posting fake news.


16 posted on 03/26/2020 9:16:49 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
So NY is significantly lower - by more than 50% - on hospitalization/severity actual metrics

In general, hospitalizations, critical status and death are all lagging indicators that follow "new cases" anywhere from a few days to 3 or more weeks. At our current point in South Korea, they were about 0.7% fatalities. They are now 1.5%, and if their trend continues they will reach 2.4%. So far, we are not doing as well as SK. Basically, don't hang your hopes on early numbers.

17 posted on 03/26/2020 9:22:54 PM PDT by ETCM
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To: ETCM

How long till we can go back to work like Americans Pearl clutcher ?


18 posted on 03/26/2020 9:57:46 PM PDT by BillyCuccio (MAGA)
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To: dsc; BipolarBob
“Well the bad news is that Covid-19 kills you deader than the other flus.”

“Really most sincerely dead?”

Might as well be dead in a ditch in Arkansas.

19 posted on 03/26/2020 10:10:22 PM PDT by PsyCon
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To: BillyCuccio

Posting facts is pearl clutching, eh? Go to work when you like. I’m retired. Piss off.


20 posted on 03/26/2020 10:21:51 PM PDT by ETCM
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