Posted on 03/26/2020 6:30:11 PM PDT by Hojczyk
did they predict this?
The two professors argue that the best evidence of the coronavirus death rate being significantly lower than what is being reported may lie in the Italian town of Vò. On March 6, the town's 3,300 residents were tested. Of these, 90 tests came back positive, indicating a prevalence of 2.7% of the population having the virus.
If one were to apply this to the entire province where the town is located, which has a population of 955,000, it would mean there were actually 26,000 infections at the time, and not just the 198 that were officially confirmed. This would be 130 times greater than the number of reported cases. Since Italy's case fatality rate of 8% is estimated using the confirmed cases, Bendavid and Bhattacharya write, "the real fatality rate [of the virus] could in fact be closer to 0.06%."
A 'cause for optimism'?
The two Stanford Health Policy experts even said the virus' mortality rate might be on par with that of the seasonal flu:
Existing evidence suggests that the virus is highly transmissible and that the number of infections doubles roughly every three days. An epidemic seed on Jan. 1 implies that by March 9 about six million people in the U.S. would have been infected. As of March 23, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, there were 499 Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. If our surmise of six million cases is accurate, that's a mortality rate of 0.01%, assuming a two week lag between infection and death. This is one-tenth of the flu mortality rate of 0.1%. Such a low death rate would be cause for optimism.
A universal lockdown 'may not be worth the costspublic policy experts should focus their measures on protecting the elderly and expanding medical capacity.
(Excerpt) Read more at theblaze.com ...
MSM & Democrat Congressional fleecing of the American Taxpayer & future generations, based on fear & hype.
...
Yes and couple this with arrogant PhD showing off with data. Trying to look so smart and being part of the Democrats solution. They really all should be in jail. Personally I think all about you lot of money in the market should get money taken out of the Harvard endowment fund to replace it. Yeah I like that idea.
The “experts” cried “WOLF”.
And the sheeple shut down for a sniffle.
OH SURE now that we have destroyed our economy they decide OOPS sorry we were wrong!!!
That is because they are lying about their overload. At least for now.
Well there’s been a serious outbreak here in Santa Clara County/Silicon Valley, and no hospitals or medical services are beyond the breaking point. Not even close.
Yeah. Where are the coastlines that were supposed to be under 20 feet of water by 2015. Where are the flying cars?
Believe what you want. No skin off my nose.
So, why are ERs and hospitals in Italy overflowing with COVID-19 patients (alive and dying), while some of our own heath care facilities are already showing signs of strain. Go ahead and tell the doctors and nurses the fatality rate is actually closer to the seasonal flu. Do you think that will change anything? Can you figure out the disconnect?
Michael Mann creates nation wide panic due to his hockey stick graph projecting global warming that will kill man kind.
Anthony Fauci > Hold my beer, let me show you my corona pandemic graph that projects half the world will die off in six months.......
Yet another piece of fake news from you?
Perhaps another Cultural Revolution?
Naaah. Merely another piece of disinformation.
Who runs the networks?
why?-we don’t have good data-the assumptions of spread rate and CFR are in conflict with each other. Either the spread rate is lower or fatality rate. THE CFR rate has steadily fallen. We may not know unless we test everyone. There have been 54 pediatric deaths due to regular flu in USA, none under age 14 worldwide-that is what has researchers taking a second look
Point I’ve been making for several weeks, the virus does not have high mortality, it only appears to because far more people have been infected than indicated due to late limited testing for active virus instead of serological tests and higher than estimated rate of transmission. The mystery non-flu ailment that has been going around for the last 4 to 6 weeks was COVID and the “experts” didn’t even realize it. That is why only very high density areas are having problems, and why it peaks and fades to background so fast (China).
People selling stuff toward their target audiences, and by target audiences, those who will repsond to the ads they run.
They had 40 of those big portables going 24/7, plus the city’s usual crematoria were working all the time, too. I read that they termed it “medical waste” disposal, but the dead may have been “reclassified”. Who’s to say that they’re still not operating at full steam? I don’t believe a single word from the CCP or their minion media. People who got out of there had very different stories to tell.
Are flu and VARDS correlated? They can lead to DEATH.
Vaping Associated Respiratory Distress Syndrome VARDS?
This may have been their next coup attempt but now that Trump’s poll numbers are going up and their 401ks are going down . . .
“We may not know unless we test everyone.”
Not true. The CFR is (number of deaths)/(number of confirmed cases). So if enough people are tested (which should not be a problem) and a disposition (recovered or fatal) is made for each case, a valid CFR can be derived. It does not require that all people get tested. At least that is what I understand from what I have read regarding epidemiology.
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