I’ve been following to the degree possible the statistical impact of delayed testing. The definition of a case includes all those who test positive, meaning there are two ways a sudden increase in cases can occur: first through a growing infection level, or second through a growing level of discovery of those previously infected caused by an increased number of tests. It’s beginning to look like this has been with us since January but was largely undetected or misclassified until testing became widespread.
The media has had a tendency to classify all new cases as the product of the disease spreading. That produces dramatic numbers, but I don’t think it accurately describes what’s going on. So far, I haven’t found a solid source for numbers of tests.
Didn’t see your earlier posts, so I don’t know your results. Hope things are going okay for you. I’ve been through that anxiety while waiting for test results on a serious condition, and know it’s not fun.
I’m doing good here, and the testing I mentioned was another family member. I’ve not been tested.
Your take on things is accurate > IMO.
Discovery is what drives numbers. People have to come forward and be tested, or hospitalized to be counted.
We’ll never know about the mild cases. This will swing the number in the direction of the most dire conclusions.