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Glaring disparities listed in the article.
1 posted on 03/25/2020 9:39:13 PM PDT by fwdude
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To: fwdude
I am glad that someone else besides me took notice of this website, which is being used as a reference without any sort of vetting. Government entities and others are quoting it as if it is Gospel, and it is most certainly not.

First of all, having "Act Now" in the name of any organization or website is automatically a red flag in my opinion. I did a bit of reading on the site, and sure enough, my suspicions were confirmed. Their homepage is covered with a long list of people, giving the impression that all of them are responsible for the site. However, a closer look reveals that most of them have nothing to do with it, other than maybe mentioning it or giving it a (semi) endorsement. Only one actual medical doctor is among the founders, and it seems he has been in academia for many years.

Below in italics is the site's "About" section. I carefully followed the links to each of the founders. Besides the previously mentioned doctor, their founders include two former Howard Dean campaign workers, one of whom is a democratic state representative in Alaska; a blatant Trump-hater and vocal Democrat supporter who doesn't list an occupation; and a marketing guy. He and at least one of the others live in San Francisco, the home of Nancy Pelosi.

About
CoVidActNow was founded by Max Henderson, Rep Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Igor Kofman, and Zack Rosen, with medical and policy guidance from Nirav R. Shah (MD, MPH, senior scholar, Stanford University Clinical Excellence Research Center).

Summary of my research:

Max Henderson: San Francisco based computer/marketing guy, former Google employee. Current director for ISLA, a Heritage Language Immersion program that promotes bilingualism and global citizenship of hispanic children through free literacy, culture, art, and science classes in Spanish.

Rep Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: Democratic state representative in Alaska. Described as a major online organizer for Howard Dean's presidential campaign.

Igor Kofman (From his own Twitter bio): ex-Google, ex-Youtube, ex-Microsoft. Maker. Dancer. His Twitter page is full of anti-Trump, very leftwing posts for Democrat causes etc.

Zack Rosen: San Francisco based computer person and bicycle shop owner. Dropped out of college to work on the Howard Dean presidential campaign.

Nirav R. Shah: The ONLY medical person among the founders.

So, in my opinion, CoVidActNow.org is nothing more than a means to continue the media-driven panic over the Coronavirus, providing dire predictions with the goal of causing overreactions that will harm the economy and thus the Trump Administration. This website should not be used for any policy-making decisions, as I believe it is motivated by a purely political agenda.

70 posted on 03/25/2020 11:37:15 PM PDT by gbunch
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To: fwdude

Only 683 deaths in 24 hours.

Coronavirus in Italy: Lockdown proving effective as new cases fall for fourth day
https://inews.co.uk/news/coronavirus-in-italy-lockdown-effective-cases-fall-covid-19-outbreak-2518448


72 posted on 03/25/2020 11:39:31 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: fwdude

Italy coronavirus deaths pass 7,500 amid fears of spread to south
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy/italy-coronavirus-deaths-pass-7500-amid-fears-of-spread-to-south-idUKKBN21C373


73 posted on 03/25/2020 11:40:36 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: fwdude
"The creators even admit as much with the caveat that 'this model is designed to drive fast action, not predict the future.'"

Inciting panic used to be considered a bad thing.

I think there used to be laws against it.

81 posted on 03/26/2020 12:12:04 AM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit)
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To: fwdude

And as President trump and his crew keep up the daily briefings, the data will magically start to contract to reality...attention and awareness can defeat mindless panic.


99 posted on 03/26/2020 4:46:46 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
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To: fwdude

Garbage

The data variance is so great that the areas where the virus is nearly nonexistent can’t be graphed on the same scale as where there are concentrations.

The graphical presentations over state actality


101 posted on 03/26/2020 4:55:09 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
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To: fwdude

interference in our election process and financial markets.

Just who are these people?

any ties to the Oct 2019 dry run of such a global panic?

event 201

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoLw-Q8X174


112 posted on 03/26/2020 6:00:19 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Everyone knows Hillary was corrupt, lied, destroyed documents, and influenced witnesses. Rat crime.)
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To: fwdude
"But a closer look at how many of COVID Act Now's predictions have already fallen short, and how they became a ubiquitous resource across the country overnight, suggests something more sinister," Osburn wrote.

...

Perhaps, the analysis explained, "the goal of COVID Act Now was never to provide accurate information, but to scare citizens and government officials into to implementing rash and draconian measures." "The creators even admit as much with the caveat that 'this model is designed to drive fast action, not predict the future.'"

Never let a crisis go to waste?

115 posted on 03/26/2020 6:05:18 AM PDT by GOPJ ( http://www.tinyurl.com/cvirusmap https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfeZlKu8M7A)
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To: fwdude

I have built in leeway for predictions that miss their mark, but it is my opinion that many predictive “experts” had less than benevolent purposes for their “predictions”.

Not saying this is one of them.

The point is, predictions made in good faith are often wrong for a variety of unforeseen and often valid factors.

But predictions made with a specific end in mind that diverges from useful decision making or informative purposes should be damned, and often are not.

For them (and they fully know this) nobody ever goes back to them and says “Hey, you were wrong.”

Witness “The Population Bomb” or the legions on the Left who said our cities would be under water with no way to go back by now.

To me, in retrospect, that fully characterizes their predictions as the malevolent kind.


119 posted on 03/26/2020 6:22:36 AM PDT by rlmorel (The Coronavirus itself will not burn down humanity. But we may burn ourselves down to be rid of it.)
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To: fwdude

here’s a link to The Federalist article that WND stole lock, stock, and barrel:

“Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns”

https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/25/inaccurate-virus-models-are-panicking-officials-into-ill-advised-lockdowns/

it’s a better article and a better headline than the cheap copy by WND


123 posted on 03/26/2020 7:09:54 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: fwdude

I would caution people using worldometer.info site that is widely consulted, that is is a very secretive website based in Pudong Shanghai, extremely opaque as to who actually runs the site, seems connected to something called Dadax, They have no public spokesman, and do not answer questions.

Their info seems very generally accurate, it may be a legit site, but one has to consider that being accurate 99.9% of the time and inserting an occasional inaccuracy could be a way to seriously mislead.


137 posted on 03/26/2020 10:26:56 AM PDT by cookcounty (Susan Rice: G Gordon Liddy times 10.)
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To: fwdude

And now the “brains” behind the Imperial College model, on which CoVidActNow (and a lot of paranoia) is based, has declared a huge public “OOPS!” and revised his doomsday predictions downward by a factor if TWENTY-FIVE!

So 500,000 predicted deaths are now 20,000, and instead of 18 MONTHS of lockdown, now he says 2-3 weeks will do the trick.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3828596/posts


143 posted on 03/26/2020 11:37:28 AM PDT by gbunch
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