Posted on 03/21/2020 12:16:38 PM PDT by NobleFree
[...] What percentage of the population will get each virus?
There are years of data that can answer that question for influenza. In the U.S., for example, in recent years about 8.3% of the total population get sick from flu each season, a CDC study found; including people who carry flu virus but show no symptoms, that estimate ranges to up to 20%.
Nobody knows what percentage of the population will eventually contract coronavirus. But there are some educated guesses. Since this is a new disease and there's no vaccine and no established immunity from past cycles, experts believe everyone is susceptible.
A March 19 letter from researchers at the University of Hong Kong and Harvard, published in Nature Medicine, predicted that globally, "at least one-quarter to one-half of the population will very likely become infected, absent drastic control measures or a vaccine."
An influential modeling analysis released March 16 from Imperial College of London predicted a worse-case scenario in which 81% of the U.S. population could get infected over the next few months, if no actions were taken to slow or contain the spread of the virus. Predictions from models like this appear to have spurred U.S. officials to implement social distancing measures to combat the virus's spread.
To come up with better data for COVID-19 infection rates, researchers are doing blood tests in China to see how many people have been infected in a place where the epidemic appears to have been successfully suppressed through efforts such as lockdowns, contact tracing and an increase in hospital capacity.
Death rate
Initial data shows that coronavirus is deadlier. In the U.S., seasonal flu kills 1 in a thousand people (0.1%) who get sick from it — the death toll last season was more than 34,000. Worldwide, an estimated 300,000 to 650,000 people die from flu each year.
By contrast, COVID-19 is currently estimated to kill at least 10 people per thousand infected (1%). "It's about ten times more lethal than the seasonal flu," said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Disease, in congressional testimony on March 11.
More data is needed to assess the COVID-19 death rate, including detailed figures on how many cases present with mild symptoms or no symptoms at all. So far, COVID-19 has killed around 10,000 people worldwide how many people worldwide — and around 200 in the U.S. But infectious disease specialists warn that, if coronavirus spreads widely in the U.S., the numbers could rise quickly.
"It does have the potential to be just as bad, if not worse, in terms of the overall number of deaths and severe cases as seasonal flu," says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia University. [...]
Bwaahaahaaaa!
Pardon?
Coronavirus has been around so long that it is listed on my old can of Lysol.
This strain may be new but the coronavirus is not new.
NPR. Tax payer funded liars.
NPR, an information source you can rely on to fabricate and prevaricate.
STUDY: 99% Of Patients Killed By Coronavirus In Italy Had Existing Illnesses
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/study-99-of-patients-killed-by-coronavirus-in-italy-had-existing-illnesses/
STUDY: 99% Of Patients Killed By Coronavirus In Italy Had Existing Illnesses
From that article:
“Scientists have not yet established why people with high blood pressure are more vulnerable to the coronavirus.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the U.S. says it needs ‘more data to become available’ to investigate the link properly.
“The illness is common and often life-long – around 16million people in the UK and 78million in the US have the condition and many take medication to control it.
“It is not clear whether high blood pressure directly raises the risk of fatal COVID-19, or whether it simply pops up so often because it’s so common among the elderly, who are already the most likely to die on account of their age.
For example, between 72 and 80 per cent of over-75s in the US have the condition.”
That’s such a high percentage that it significantly strips away the meaning of “pre-existing conditions”.
Also:
“Some 76.1 per cent of the patients who died of Covid-19 had previously had problems with high arterial blood pressure, the study found.”
So not current high blood pressure, but previous, and associated with a condition which is not associated with flu deaths.
This is also interesting:
“However, 5.2 per cent of patients who later died did not initially present any symptoms when they tested positive.”
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