Posted on 03/21/2020 7:27:08 AM PDT by hardspunned
https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894
One thing I find inexplicable......The worst country in the world for cases per million population is .....ICELAND.
They have had a total of 473 cases and that works out to be 1386 cases per million population. have had 64 new cases just today.
That is almost double the concentration of cases occurring in Italy which is second at 778/million.
Best explanation yet. I can’t emphasize how all the major factions of the scare point to the Democrats’ and the Deep State’s major goals: Destroy economies, disrupt elections, force lockdowns, and ultimately to prevent the individual will of the people, especially in the U.S.A. And now the initial volley and major responses have been set in motion, it is up to us prevent the malaise of the resulting bad economy to flourish for good.
So far, politically it will have cost at least three GOP senate seats, prevented Trump from campaigning all over the country not just for his own campaign but the vital support needed for Congressional and senate seats, and will most probably result in the House remaining under Democrat hands where it looked like it would have easily flipped in November.
In short, to hell with calling the virus the Covid-19 virus, the Chinese Virus, or the new yellow fever. I’m gonna call it for what it has mutated into: The Deep State Virus, with the Democrat strain of the virus the most devastating.
Most icelanders live in close proximity to each other in their capital city
Correction: There are a few very small Island nations that are higher.
3 key takeaways:
[“If you have a COVID-19 patient in your household, your risk of developing the infection is about 10%….If you were casually exposed to the virus in the workplace (e.g., you were not locked up in conference room for six hours with someone who was infected [like a hospital]), your chance of infection is about 0.5%”
“Transmission by fine aerosols in the air over long distances is not one of the main causes of spread. Most of the 2,055 infected hospital workers were either infected at home or in the early phase of the outbreak in Wuhan when hospital safeguards were not raised yet,” she said.
“Even when we looked at households, we did not find a single example of a child bringing the infection into the household and transmitting to the parents. It was the other way around. And the children tend to have a mild disease,” said Van Kerkhove.
“We still believe, looking at the data, that the force of infection here, the major driver, is people who are symptomatic, unwell, and transmitting to others along the human-to-human route,” Dr. Mike Ryan of WHO Emergencies Program.
93% of people who think they are positive aren’t
1% of cases will be severe
Outstanding article. This is, by far, the most reassuring thing I’ve seen since this all started. Please, President Trump, don’t take any more actions than we’ve already done.
Article written yesterday 3-20 uses data on Italy from 3/15. Lists cases in Italy as 22,512 when the actual number is 47,021 (108% higher), increases are around 5,000 per day. BTW Italy will report again around 1:15 this afternoon EST. Hysteria is obviously bad but so is presenting “evidence” which is 5 days old and off by 108%.
Conclusion: End all the shutdowns. Focus on hospital preparedness instead.
“Remember this tone is for a virus that has impacted 0.004% of our population.”
Very comprehensive take on this (lots of data worth reading)
It appears that you are advocating using the reported data without ever taking a given set of data and doing analysis for the public. Is that your intent.
Data without analysis will be the basis of incorrect and panic inducing false analysis.
Thanks; noteworthy for sure.
This is incorrect. This is not like the influenza virus. It is a corona virus, and as such it is subject to much more variation and mutation.
Also, this virus is flourishing in places like Singapore, Philippines, and the middle east where temperatures are high.
Most of what this person references are from sources that the rest of FR usually finds suspect: The WHO and CCP. Not dismissing them out of hand...but to accept their word on one report and criticize them on another is not a consistent look at the world.
This is not the end of the world. But it is a major issue.
Many folks on FR act as if there is one side or the other on this. In reality, it comes down in the middle.
You probably wouldn't want to work next to someone who was infected. Neither would I. But, as we all know, this is going to make a couple of passes and then we will have a herd immunity. The best thing to do now is to stay away from people, and stay away from the hospitals.
It is what you would all do naturally anyway. My sense is that folks just don't like to be told what to do.
Data without analysis will be the basis of incorrect and panic inducing false analysis.
YES, absolutely correct. DITTO.
“My sense is that folks just don’t like to be told what to do”
That might just be the truest characteristic of an AMERICAN.
Exactly. But, based on the know facts and risks, most people would be self distancing anyway.
And all the other points made? Great, job attacking 1% of the info presented. You allege one fact misstated debunks the entirety of the piece. You recoil to any non hysterically presented information like it came in a cardboard box with Chinese fingerprints on it.
Iceland tested their entire population the only complete testing to date other than the cruise ship. So they found their mild cases everywhere else mixed.
Risk of infection from single exposure estimated at 1-5%.
So in other words, being cooped up in the house under lockdown doesn't kill this thing.
Let our people go!
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