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Experts warn over scale of Wuhan outbreak [From January 2020]
The Taipei Times ^ | January 19, 2020 | by AFP Hong Kong

Posted on 03/19/2020 1:39:33 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

January 19, 2020 - The true scale of a viral pneumonia outbreak in China is likely far bigger than officially reported, scientists have said, as countries ramp up measures to prevent the disease from spreading.

Fears that the virus will spread are growing ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday, when hundreds of millions of Chinese move around the country and many others host or visit extended family members living overseas.

Authorities in China have said two people have died and at least 45 have been infected, with the outbreak centered around a seafood market in Wuhan, a central city of 11 million inhabitants that serves as a major transport hub.

However, a paper published Friday by scientists with the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College in London said that the number of cases in the city was likely about 1,700.

The researchers said that their estimate was largely based on the fact that cases had been reported overseas — two in Thailand and one in Japan.

The virus — a new strain of coronavirus that humans can contract — has caused alarm because of its connection to SARS, which killed nearly 650 people across China and Hong Kong in 2002-2003.

China has not announced any travel restrictions, but authorities in Hong Kong have stepped up detection measures, including rigorous temperature checkpoints for inbound travelers from China.

The US has said that from Friday it would begin screening flights arriving from Wuhan at San Francisco International Airport and New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport — which both receive direct flights — as well as Los Angeles International Airport, where many flights connect.

Thailand said it was already screening passengers arriving in Bangkok, Chiang Mai and Phuket, and would soon introduce similar controls in Krabi.

No human-to-human transmission has been confirmed so far, but the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission has said that the possibility “cannot be excluded.”

A WHO doctor said it would not be surprising if there was “some limited human-to-human transmission, especially among families who have close contact with one another.”

Scientists with the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis — which advises bodies including the WHO — said they estimated a “total of 1,723” people in Wuhan would have been infected as of Sunday last week.

“For Wuhan to have exported three cases to other countries would imply there would have to be many more cases than have been reported,” Neil Ferguson, one of the authors of the report, told the BBC.

“I am substantially more concerned than I was a week ago,” he said, while adding that it was “too early to be alarmist.”

“People should be considering the possibility of substantial human-to-human transmission more seriously than they have so far,” he said, adding that it was “unlikely” that animal exposure was the sole source of infection.

Local authorities in Wuhan said a 69-year-old man died on Wednesday, becoming the second fatality, with the disease causing pulmonary tuberculosis and damage to multiple organ functions.

After the death was reported, online discussion spread in China over the severity of the coronavirus — and how much information the government might be hiding from the public.

Several complained about censorship of online posts, while others made comparisons to 2003, when Beijing drew criticism from the WHO for underreporting the number of SARS cases.

“It’s so strange,” wrote a Web user on Sina Weibo, citing the overseas cases in Japan and Thailand. “They all have Wuhan pneumonia cases but [in China] we don’t have any infections outside of Wuhan — is that scientific?”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; virus; wuhanp4
China is responsible for the damage to our country, our economy, many industries, and our liberty. They must be held to account.
1 posted on 03/19/2020 1:39:33 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
China is responsible for the damage to our country, our economy, many industries, and our liberty. They must be held to account.

Total trade embargo

2 posted on 03/19/2020 1:40:38 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The Epoch Times, doing the Job Mainstream American Journalists won’t.


3 posted on 03/19/2020 1:41:27 PM PDT by KC_Lion (Me and my homies woulda been stackin' bodies by now- G. Washington.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Dude, it’s okay. More people die from measles. Its all a plot to take over the world. Don’t fall for the Soros scam.

/conspiracy kook.


4 posted on 03/19/2020 1:41:30 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
PDJT was "impeached" by the House on January 18th.

At that point, the Monica Media was having orgasms, and totally absorbed in the upcoming Senate Trial.

Pelosi was promising to impeach him again if the Senate didn't vote to convict, and ordering Mitch McConnell around.

5 posted on 03/19/2020 1:44:33 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrats' John Dean])
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To: 1Old Pro
Total trade embargo

Or, eliminate $1 trillion US Debt held by Communist China.

6 posted on 03/19/2020 1:52:12 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Yea, I heard of early reports of MULTIPLE PEOPLE flying out of Wuhan with infections (Singapore and Seattle come to mind), while China was claiming less than 100 cases total, that was when I knew it was time to start major prepping.

But like most preppers, I still wish I had done more, and if there’s a pause in the virus, I’m heading out to get more food!


7 posted on 03/19/2020 1:54:16 PM PDT by BobL (If some people here don't want to prep for Coronavirus, they can explain it to their families)
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To: Steely Tom
PDJT was "impeached" by the House on January 18th.

No it was December 18, 2019. On Feb. 5th 2020 he was acquitted.

8 posted on 03/19/2020 2:04:52 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong
Thanks for the correction.

But my impression is still that the "impeachment" story was #1 wall-to-wall in the MSM clear through January. Even if PDJT had known about the coronavirus situation, and had been somehow made aware of what it would turn into, any attempt by him to raise the alarm would have been dismissed as "trying to detract from his own bad news situation."

9 posted on 03/19/2020 4:55:35 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrats' John Dean])
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To: Steely Tom

Oh it was without a doubt. No argument there. 8>)


10 posted on 03/19/2020 6:01:38 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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