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Apocalypse No. Assessing the challenge posed by the COVID-19 pandemic.
spector.org ^ | 3/18/2020 | George Parry

Posted on 03/18/2020 12:59:58 PM PDT by bitt

We know the numerator, but not the denominator.” — Leading medical researcher, name withheld, discussing the statistical effect of the coronavirus 2019

One of the most difficult problems in assessing the current coronavirus 2019 (hereinafter COVID-19) pandemic is sorting through the conflicting expert opinions and the evolving statistical data that have — with an enormous assist by the mainstream media — plunged our nation into a state of panic and paralysis. How did we get here? And just how serious is the threat posed by COVID-19?

I’m neither a doctor nor an epidemiologist. But as a prosecutor and trial lawyer, I have spent decades in courtrooms cross-examining highly credentialed and well-compensated expert witnesses and deconstructing their statistical analyses and scientific theories. Moreover, having litigated numerous medical malpractice cases, not only have I interrogated and worked with medical experts, but I have also become friends with a number of intelligent and thoughtful health-care professionals, some of whom have kindly shared with me their insights regarding the current pandemic. Their insights and my basic arithmetic skills and historical analysis form the basis of what you are about to read.

But before we jump into the heart of the discussion, I commend to you the wise words of the celebrated Dr. Drew Pinsky regarding the media’s execrable coverage of the pandemic. Speaking with host Larry O’Connor on the Washington Examiner’s “Examining Politics” podcast, Dr. Pinsky said, “I don’t claim to know what’s motivating the media, but, my God, their reporting is absolutely reprehensible. They should be ashamed of themselves. They are creating a panic that is far worse than the viral outbreak. The bottom line, everybody, is to listen to Dr. Anthony Fauci [Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases]. Do what he tells you, and go about your business.

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: covid19pandemic
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1 posted on 03/18/2020 12:59:58 PM PDT by bitt
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To: Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; ...

p


2 posted on 03/18/2020 1:00:17 PM PDT by bitt ("Make yourself sheep and the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin)
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To: bitt

Since the ChiComs wouldn’t come clean we’re having to figure it out on the fly. Which is why everyone is erring towards worst-case scenarios.


3 posted on 03/18/2020 1:05:08 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Well if Trump is re-elected and we truly have a Marshall Plan to resurrect domestic manufacturing of most Chinese made essential things like medical equipment and drugs imagine what a 20% unemployment rate in China with 1 billion people means. Mother of all revolutions, we may have global warming because of the 100’s of millions of bodies decomposing. But then again if we get Biden, we’ll be back to dependent, neutered Soyboys like under Obama and we can slap the shackles back on.


4 posted on 03/18/2020 1:09:15 PM PDT by pburgh01 (Negan all the MSM)
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To: bitt

Thank you for posting this!

I like this part

“All of the foregoing comes down to this: compared to other pandemics, COVID-19 is relatively benign in that it poses a threat primarily to persons 65 or older and persons with co-morbidities. It’s not a catastrophically fatal 1918 Spanish flu that wiped out young and old alike and appears to be about as statistically fatal as the seasonal influenza A. And although it could possibly threaten to overwhelm our medical facilities, that’s a problem that our nimble free-market system is particularly well-equipped to solve.”

WuFlu Fright will kill more than WuFlu virus.


5 posted on 03/18/2020 1:09:59 PM PDT by FreedomNotSafety
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To: bitt

Added Gina Kolata’s Flu to my library. Its a study of the great flu pandemic of 1918.

The past is prologue to the present. Once in a lifetime thingy.


6 posted on 03/18/2020 1:10:08 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever po)
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To: bitt

I have a new tagline. And that encapsulates my concern.

This isn’t some plague that has a 50% mortality rate that would force us to nearly immolate ourselves to be rid of it and save ourselves.

But we may be burning down everything and plunging us into a dark pit of hunger, want, and misery to get rid of it.

And I don’t think that is the right approach.


7 posted on 03/18/2020 1:12:48 PM PDT by rlmorel (The Coronavirus itself will not burn down humanity. But we may burn ourselves down to be rid of it.)
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To: bitt

bmp


8 posted on 03/18/2020 1:14:28 PM PDT by gattaca ("Government's first duty is to protect the people, not run their lives." Ronald Reagan)
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To: rlmorel
Just calm down and relax we have two weeks where we need to be laying low and isolated and let the government get a handle on testing and seeing who’s got it and who doesn’t and then will be able to move forward this is not rocket 🧬 science. But it’s close
9 posted on 03/18/2020 1:16:48 PM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guv mint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: rlmorel

Another book must read: The Viral Storm by Nathan Wolfe.


10 posted on 03/18/2020 1:17:04 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: bitt
Great article.

So once this blows over, the parts of the work-force that have become unemployed can resume careers in manufacturing brought back from Red China.

11 posted on 03/18/2020 1:19:53 PM PDT by Psalm 73
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To: Truthoverpower

Its the end of the world. I’m just waiting for zombies to put in an appearance.


12 posted on 03/18/2020 1:21:35 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: bitt

Thanks for posting.


13 posted on 03/18/2020 1:44:42 PM PDT by gattaca ("Government's first duty is to protect the people, not run their lives." Ronald Reagan)
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To: goldstategop
They've already been here a long time.


14 posted on 03/18/2020 1:49:43 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: bitt

The number of deaths are doubling every two days. The number of asymptomatic people is irrelevant.


15 posted on 03/18/2020 1:51:11 PM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: bitt

We are slowly curving already.


16 posted on 03/18/2020 2:35:58 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: Truthoverpower

Truth be told, it isn’t me I am concerned with. I have the disease in context, I have a medical background and the faculties to make reasoned choices that I feel are appropriate.

It is the media and political elements who want to ensure that this “crisis” doesn’t go to waste that concern me. We have clearly seen for the last three years they are not rational and will go to any length to be rid of President Trump.

Rationality and prudence are not foremost for them. I believe their purposes are much darker and more destructive than the virus itself.


17 posted on 03/18/2020 2:52:37 PM PDT by rlmorel (The Coronavirus itself will not burn down humanity. But we may burn ourselves down to be rid of it.)
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To: goldstategop

I have not read any fiction in so long I can’t remember when...for about the last ten years, I only have been listening to biographies, non-fiction, and history. (I don’t read anymore, my eye just cannot do it)

But I will check that out-thank you for the recommendation!


18 posted on 03/18/2020 3:06:02 PM PDT by rlmorel (The Coronavirus itself will not burn down humanity. But we may burn ourselves down to be rid of it.)
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To: Salamander

AHahahahaha


19 posted on 03/18/2020 3:07:09 PM PDT by rlmorel (The Coronavirus itself will not burn down humanity. But we may burn ourselves down to be rid of it.)
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To: rlmorel

This appears to be non fiction.


20 posted on 03/18/2020 3:13:34 PM PDT by vis a vis
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