I will try to post something tonight — it has been a little busy with single fatherhood and someone out of school for 4 weeks all of the sudden. In any event, Italy has some non reassuring numbers, the other countries are all declining.
There is almost certainly a saturation of testing which is an interesting variable — If we unleash testing and there are a whole of (+), that drives the rates of death down, but that won’t be the headline. That would require some nuance for people to understand — the government will continue its call for (as Speaker Pelosi stated) immediate seizure of the means of production — sounds a little like Communism to me.
In any event, the numbers will go up in America the next three days. I Still believe that we will peak on or about 22 March.
Lets follow the data to where they lead us. More tonight.
“I will try to post something tonight — ....”
Look at my post at #156 a few posts above yours.
I still think your logic is good. I wish we could believe the numbers in China, but I’ve got little faith in those reports. I’m focusing in on N. Korea. They are holding firm! I’m waiting for next Tuesday to get here :-).