I would love to see a serology conversion rate. My thought is that the (+)serologies and much more than we know and that the rates are far less. I attempted to provide an analysis based on data available.
I’d like to see and age graph bar form would likely work best.
My hunch is that the infection rates are currently under counted by at least a factor of 10. That would drop the calculated mortality rate quite a bit.
I’m Preventive Medicine by training, my gut feeling is that there will be at least 100 million infected in this country but deaths will be much less than a million.