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To: null and void
You don't know, I don't know, but if you include that number in the denominator to calculate survival and mortality, you are assuming they will all live.

I am not adding them to anything, that is where you have gone astray here.

There were 712 people infected.

Of those 712, 525 have recovered and 7 have died, which total 532. That means I have left out 180 people, and that is because they are still classified as infected.

(525/712) * 100 = 73.7%
(7/712) * 100 = 1%
(180/712) * 100 = 25.3% (actually 25.28, but rounded up is 25.3%)

Those 3 classifications add up to 712, which is 100% of the number infected. Thus when the still infected classification hits 0, the 2 remaining classifications will adjust and their percentages with also adjust. But in no way can the recovered equal 100%.

Note: I think in my previous response I think I typed 108 instead of 180. My dyslexia at work there. 8>)

182 posted on 03/17/2020 5:49:03 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong
(525/712) * 100 = 73.7%

Hello? Helloo?

You are using everyone diagnosed as the denominator, INCLUDING people who are not RESOLVED cases.

Try:

(525/(7+525)) * 100 = 98.7% (7/(7+525)) * 100 = 1.3%

98.7+1.3=100% of the RESOLVED cases

We can now predict that of the 180 still sick people about 178 will recover and about 2 won't.

184 posted on 03/17/2020 5:59:11 PM PDT by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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