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Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to "flatten the curve"
The Washington Post ^ | 14 March, 2020 | Harry Stevens

Posted on 03/15/2020 1:38:52 PM PDT by amorphous

After the first case of covid-19, the disease caused by the new strain of coronavirus, was announced in the United States, reports of further infections trickled in slowly. Two months later, that trickle has turned into a steady current.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19
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Four simulations with differing levels of social distancing (i.e., quarantines).
1 posted on 03/15/2020 1:38:52 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: amorphous
After the way the Washington Post has acted out over the last decades,
I don't listen to a word they have to say.

I can't trust any of it.

2 posted on 03/15/2020 1:41:04 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (The end is nigh, and COVID-19 was beat out by the fearmongers... enough already!)
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To: amorphous

https://abcn.ws/2U7F4sX


3 posted on 03/15/2020 1:42:41 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: amorphous

I saw some practicing social distancing getting more hits!


4 posted on 03/15/2020 1:45:32 PM PDT by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: amorphous

WUHAN VIRUS - say it with me...”WUHAN VIRUS”...


5 posted on 03/15/2020 1:45:52 PM PDT by frogjerk (We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
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To: DoughtyOne
Check it out.

The second simulation represents what we're seeing in China now. The third simulation is based on 3/4ths of the population staying at home. The final simulation shows the degree of infection when 1/8 of the population mix.

6 posted on 03/15/2020 1:48:10 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: frogjerk
WUHAN FLU - ryhmes...
7 posted on 03/15/2020 1:50:51 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Where does that link take me?


8 posted on 03/15/2020 1:52:08 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: amorphous

I don’t buy into global warming models either...


9 posted on 03/15/2020 1:54:02 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (The end is nigh, and COVID-19 was beat out by the fearmongers... enough already!)
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To: amorphous

The waPo should call their Fake Disease TDS...


10 posted on 03/15/2020 1:56:42 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: amorphous

abc news video


11 posted on 03/15/2020 1:56:55 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: amorphous

Yes. Geezers and the immune compromised should be social distancing...


12 posted on 03/15/2020 1:59:12 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: goodnesswins
Yes. Geezers and the immune-compromised should be social distancing...

90% of Freepers are geezers.

13 posted on 03/15/2020 2:00:40 PM PDT by rexthecat
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To: amorphous

Their model doesn’t show anybody dying...


14 posted on 03/15/2020 2:00:41 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: DoughtyOne

Neither do I, because there are far too many unknown factors in trying to create an accurate climate forecast model. The simulation presented here is vastly less complex - even an Excel spreadsheet guru could build one. :)


15 posted on 03/15/2020 2:01:19 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: rexthecat

Yup....oh...like your screen name...we have rexthecat...


16 posted on 03/15/2020 2:02:28 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: amorphous

WaCompost = FAKE NEWS!


17 posted on 03/15/2020 2:02:33 PM PDT by EarlT357
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To: frogjerk

Oh, I dunno....I sorta like XI-Virus, myself!


18 posted on 03/15/2020 2:03:46 PM PDT by EarlT357
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To: amorphous

Thanks for posting this. The Washington Post has done a nice job with the visualization of how the changes in assumptions used for the CDC’s “flatten the curve” strategy changes the expected distribution of covid-19 cases. They used the model and data from Johns Hopkins whose scientists are very good at this. I wish more here would at least interact with the data before dismissing it because they don’t like the WaPo’s political articles.


19 posted on 03/15/2020 2:04:42 PM PDT by RetiredScientist
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To: Paladin2
Their model doesn’t show anybody dying...

Hey it's the Washing Post, for goodness sake. Lol, nobody dies in a liberal utopia - virtual or not.

20 posted on 03/15/2020 2:04:51 PM PDT by amorphous
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