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To: grey_whiskers

Balancing that, in China, we don’t know how many had it and were never tested / turned away / welded in their apartments / burned alive.
Yes, literally.
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Correct. In fact the only thing we do know about this virus is from other countries who we can probably trust as far as how many died. But the great unknown is how many catch it and either never know it or have such mild symptoms they never get treatment and simply self medicate.

When S Korea, Italy France start to see slowing perhaps then we can get some sort of a handle on the actual death rate although without knowing the unknowable i.e. total number contracting the disease we will NEVER know.

This is why I call major BS at all these morons pretending to know. It is all politics at this point...all of it.


132 posted on 03/11/2020 8:52:28 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: billyboy15
Not exactly.

If we *knew* the death rate was 0.1%, and the % needing hospitalization was similarly small, and equidistributed by age, we wouldn't have to worry about one subset of the population flooding the hospitals and overwhelming them (Same kind of applies to R0).

But it doesn't.

So the alarm ringers are trying to get people to be proactive individually, in order that the whole of society benefits. There's that chart of the two bell curves, one all bunched up, which overflows hospital capacity, one which spreads out in time, which peaks just below capacity.

The other thing is, lots of people see the pandemic as an OPPORTUNITY to advance their agendas. Like Never-Trumpers and Nancy Pelosi.

And then you have all the Iranian bigwigs getting it, and the head of Hezbollah, too.

136 posted on 03/11/2020 9:02:04 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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