COVID-19 Mortality Rate Ping
WHO says 3.4% mortality rate worldwide.
I wouldn’t take WHO’s word for ****.
IIRC, the WHO have been using the crap denominator of all cases, not concluded cases. If you have a link demonstrating their denominator is concluded cases, I’ll listen to that.
Otherwise, the linked (above) John Hopkins data is 6%, and uses the correct denominator.
“Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said during a press briefing at the agency’s headquarters in Geneva.
Let's focus on his statistic: "3.4% of reported have died".
Suppose 1,000 people have contracted the virus, and 34 have died. That is a 3.4% death rate just like he's saying.
However, he never said the other 966 cases were out of the woods yet. Many of those may have recently caught it, and remain in intensive care, preparing to die. Indeed, that lousy logic of including in the denominator people who may yet die has been the standard awfully abused statistic of this whole pandemonium.
Johns Hopkins correctly has about 3,000 dead and about 48,000 fully recovered, for a 3K / 51K = 6% death rate. The other 50,000 or so who have contracted the virus are still sick now, and are not out of the woods. If the 6% death rate holds for them, there will be another 3K dead as the thing runs its course among currently identified patients.
Does that make sense?
WHAT says mortality rate is lower than that.
I DON'T KNOW says it doesn't matter.
Third base.
WHO says 3.4% mortality rate worldwide.
If the actual mortality rate stays the same, but the disease slows its spread, this figure will go up. If the disease spreads faster with the same actual mortality rate, this number they gave out will go down.