[DoodleBob]

Thank you. While this is true, the curren CFR (deaths / confirmed cases) takes into account cases that haven't resolved.

If you take the data on resolved cases only into account, i.e. Deaths / (Deaths + Resolutions), per Johns Hopkins as of now, you get 3,160 dead and 48,226 recovered = 6.07%

For comparison, per the CDC, the numbers for the flu in 2017-2018 were 61k dead and 810k hospitalized or 7.5%.

Now, of course coronavirus is ongoing and the prior flu season is finished. But quotients are quotients.

Of course people should be prepared. But these quotients aren't pointing to TEOTWAWKI.

Its also worth noting, the CFR has been trending up lately, possibly due to a slowdown in case designations due to a dearth of kits. Or maybe it IS getting deadlier. But...where was The Who when the CFR was lower...are we getting fooled again?

[dfwgator]

But...where was The Who when the CFR was lower...are we getting fooled again?

This is no social crisis, it's just another Tricky Day, for you.

[calenel]

“Its also worth noting, the CFR has been trending up lately, possibly due to a slowdown in case designations due to a dearth of kits. Or maybe it IS getting deadlier.”

More likely the CFR is going up for two reasons. First, there are several regions where this is just starting to spread widely. Fatalities will happen faster than recoveries, so for what ever the actual mortality rate is, the instantaneous CFR will be higher. The other reason is that we’re getting honest numbers rather than the Chinese suppressed numbers, even though the Chinese numbers are still included and contaminate the results.

“For comparison, per the CDC, the numbers for the flu in 2017-2018 were 61k dead and 810k hospitalized or 7.5%.”

That 810k hospitalized number is misleading. There were many times that number of reported cases and undoubtedly many more times that number of unreported cases. But the ‘but flu’ trolls will glom onto that 7.5% number to claim the flu is more dangerous. Probably even before I finish this post...