If Turks over ran Russian Base, the Russians would answer in many horrible ways and defy NATO to do anything. Russians have nasty weapons that are not nukes.
If Turks over ran Russian Base, the Russians would answer in many horrible ways and defy NATO to do anything. Russians have nasty weapons that are not nukes.
If Turks over ran Russian Base, the Russians would answer in many horrible ways and defy NATO to do anything. Russians have nasty weapons that are not nukes.
[Whoops could go the other way if Turkey chose to over-run all of Russia’s forces in Syria. They can’t be supported effectively if Turkey does not allow it and it seems doubtful Russia would make a nuclear response. Russia does not have many allies right now, so it is tough to predict how they would react if Turkey really punched them in the nose. Turkey and Russia have about the same population aged 15-30, but Russia needs to keep an eye on Ukraine, Poland, the Baltics, and the Far East. Russia sending 500,000 troops though the Caucasus and then fighting through the mountains in Turkey is not a credible threat. Putin wins if things stay small, but Erdogan has geography on his side if things escalate.]
No invasion of Turkey by ground troops, but airstrikes from Russia, if the Turks move further into Syria, endangering the Russian air base. However, I seriously doubt the Russians want to start trading aircraft with the Turks, because they’re pretty expensive, but it could happen, if Erdogan ups the ante. The issue for Putin is that the Turkish air force is a lot more capable than what the Ukrainians and Georgians had, both equipment- and personnel-wise. NATO standards are fairly high, and Turkey is one of the better-armed NATO members.