When you post those sorts of statements, there's no reason to run numbers.
You do not believe this will be adequately contained and that every one will get it at least once. I think that's wildly pessimistic and basically concedes that no medical or public health measures can contain this. I disagree.
We'll see I guess.
Change my mind.
It spreads like flu.
It has asymptomatic contagious period of days.
International travel means it can easily be dropped into a new high-density population.
R0 is high enough that it can easily overcome containment; one missed case easily sees exponential growth.
We have practically no detection kits.
I’m not seeing any reason to believe it will “burn out”.
I’m happy to incorporate any limiting factors you can sensibly present.
I want to see this contained & eliminated (fearing my parents won’t survive it).
Just saying “I disagree” doesn’t help. Give me some objective reason to believe it won’t be as bad as I’m computing it.