Change my mind.
It spreads like flu.
It has asymptomatic contagious period of days.
International travel means it can easily be dropped into a new high-density population.
R0 is high enough that it can easily overcome containment; one missed case easily sees exponential growth.
We have practically no detection kits.
I’m not seeing any reason to believe it will “burn out”.
I’m happy to incorporate any limiting factors you can sensibly present.
I want to see this contained & eliminated (fearing my parents won’t survive it).
Just saying “I disagree” doesn’t help. Give me some objective reason to believe it won’t be as bad as I’m computing it.
I guess we are at loggerheads. I believe that good public health health protocols for dealing with COVID-19 will work and these protocols sill evolve. That includes self-quarantine. You don't believe those will help.
You predict that *everyone* will be infected.
We'll see. Care to make a wager to, payable to FR on if you are wrong I am wrong?