This is probably close to accurate but given the (mostly) closed environment, it might be too high?
Remdesivir has shown promise against other coronaviruses, and may be beneficial in this current outbreak. Gilead’s drug is now being tested in China and the U.S. Marks also said convalescent plasma, a blood product taken from people who have already fallen ill, may have potential.
Treatment is getting a lot better and they might have cure (increase in chance of survival) in a few weeks. The mortality rate will fall quickly. Next, viruses hate heat and dry weather. The warmer weather might kill it off.