The problem fir RATs who want to stop Bernie is exacerbated by the fact that in many of those Super Tuesday states well more than half of votes will have been cast prior to the South Carolina primary. Massive early voting means that Biden won’t get the chance to consolidate anti-Bernie support even if he wins big in SC. Bernie could get far less than 40% of the vote on Super Tuesday yet walk away with 2/3 of the delegates up for grabs.
Yes, good point.
Going forward, I don’t think Biden is capable of consolidating much. Their only path is to accumulate delegates everywhere. Perhaps the end result is
Biden 800
Bloomberg 700
Butt 500
Warren, others 300
Enough to stop Bernie, but doesn’t give them an obvious or default nominee.
A new candidate would have to jump in and win WIS, PENN, ORE, NJ. But Bernie’s likely too strong in those 4.
The Northern Democrats turned their base into lunatics ... problematic for national elections.
I just saw that the Wisconsin ballot deadline has passed. If somebody new jumps in, they’d start somewhere else
Penn deadline was last week. That ain’t happening.
Ct, M.D. ...SAME! too late
Early voting has really changed the game. And it seems like not every candidate has been fully cognizant of that fact. In Nevada it was what, 2/3s that voted early? That really hurt Warren, she did get a bounce from kneecapping Bloomberg but it was too late.
I know you’ve expressed opposition to it in the past. Do you think it could hurt us in the general election?
I’ve started doing it, I used to go on election day right at 6 AM. I just wish jerks passing out pamphlets had been aware. ;-p