14 states hold their primaries on Tues 3/3.
Bernie will be viable (over 15%) in each and win delegates in each.
Other candidates with a chance for viability in each state:
CA: Bloom, Biden, Warren, Butt
UTAH: Bloom, Biden, Warren
COL: Bloom, Biden, Warren, Butt
TX: Bloom, Biden, Warren
OKLA: Bloom, Biden, Butt
ARK: Bloom, Biden, Butt
ALABAMA: Bloom, Biden
TENN: Bloom, Biden
NC: Bloom, Biden, Warren
VA: Bloom, Biden, Warren, Butt
MINN: AmyK, Warren
MASS: Bloom, Biden, Warren, Butt
VT: Butt
MAINE: Bloom, Biden, Warren, Butt
Conclusions?
1. A good chunk of the non-Bernie vote will cast on candidates who finish in the 10% - 12% range. And receive 0 delegates.
2. Bernie will win 7 to 10 states.
The problem fir RATs who want to stop Bernie is exacerbated by the fact that in many of those Super Tuesday states well more than half of votes will have been cast prior to the South Carolina primary. Massive early voting means that Biden won’t get the chance to consolidate anti-Bernie support even if he wins big in SC. Bernie could get far less than 40% of the vote on Super Tuesday yet walk away with 2/3 of the delegates up for grabs.