Posted on 02/27/2020 4:44:36 AM PST by karpov
In 76, Brown & Church won 8 late primaries. It forced Carter to fight to the end.
His June victories in NJ OH, saved his campaign
Of course, the rank & file voters were disgruntled with Jimmy. That’s not happening with Bernie.
The BIG difference is that CA is Super Tuesday, not flag day. Front loading was supposed to clear the field. It will be too muddled without enough time to get momentum.
Yer prolly right
Early voting has really changed the game. And it seems like not every candidate has been fully cognizant of that fact. In Nevada it was what, 2/3s that voted early? That really hurt Warren, she did get a bounce from kneecapping Bloomberg but it was too late.
I know you’ve expressed opposition to it in the past. Do you think it could hurt us in the general election?
I’ve started doing it, I used to go on election day right at 6 AM. I just wish jerks passing out pamphlets had been aware. ;-p
Of course Early Voting will hurt us in the GE. Anything that increases turnout among college students and people on the dole will help the Democrats.
But my opposition to Early Voting is primarily due to the fact that it does away with the basic democratic principle that the government should be elected by a majority at a particular moment in time with the same information available to all.
I’m very unprincipled lately ;-D
But I care a lot about the hurting us part. Come to think of it didn’t Trump win or almost win Nevada on election day? Ralston said he’d “already lost” by then because of the early votes.
An example of how early voting in Super Tuesday states will help Bernie win the nomination:
Southeast 2.6 m
SouthCentral 1.9 m
West 5.9 m
North 2.6 m
13 million votes will be cast, total 3/3.
2 million already voted
Yes.
I just read an article from two days ago that said that a bit over 1 million Democrats had voted early in Texas alone. Add the fact that around a week ago 20% of all California Democrats who had been sent absentee ballots had returned them, and I have to believe that a heck of a lot more than 2 million Democrats from Super Tuesday states voted prior to Biden’s SC victory (not to mention prior to Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer dropping out).
Will try to search for a better estimate
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