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To: Drago
I was reporting out the Mortality rate the way you have worked it up,
but I think that’s a little too rosy.

My mortality rate for the global number was over 60% at one point, as more
and more people became infected, but very few people had the illness long
enough to recover.

At that point a 2.2% mortality rate was showing using your method, and I
think that’s going to wind up too low.

In the end, we will take the people who died, and divide that number by
the people who died plus the people who recovered.

That will be the final accurate percentage, when the last case is resolved.

Not trying to give you a hard time. Others may prefer your way of doing it.

91 posted on 02/25/2020 8:48:38 PM PST by DoughtyOne (The DNC has a taxidermist on speed dial for Nancy, Hillary, and Ruth.)
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To: DoughtyOne

Yeah, I guess my point is that we could be missing thousands/tens of thousands of Chinese/Iranians who didn’t make it into the “official count” because they were rural and didn’t’ go to the hospital/clinic to be counted. Some of those recover & some die at home but neither make the “list”. Like the flu in the USA...most people “tough it out” and don’t go to the doctor/hospital so the count is always “approximate”. I am sure the CDC/government “mortality rate” formula is way more scientific than mine/ours. ;-)


104 posted on 02/25/2020 10:25:08 PM PST by Drago
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