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To: janetjanet998
I've been concerned but did a little number crunching and looked up other numbers and I'm not that concerned anymore.(especially since I live in the boonies)

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html

Worldwide

2708÷80407=0.03367866 or 3.367866%

Doing the same for the more modern, honest countries gives you.

I've had the flu many times but have never gone to the doctor. Hong Kong has had less than 100 cases. Too small of a sample for accuracy. Looking at the numbers, a lot have not recovered yet. We're not going to know the fatality rate until it's all said and done, plus, many people will get it, get over it and not be part of the statistics.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mortality_from_H5N1

They break it down by country and it caries wildly. Canada had a 100% mortality rate. One person got it and died. The average was 52.8% and we're no where near that. It mostly hit third world countries too.

The case-fatality rate is central to pandemic planning. While estimates of case-fatality (CF) rates for past influenza pandemics have ranged from about 0.1% (1957 and 1968 pandemics) to 20% (1918 pandemic); the official World Health Organization estimate for the current outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza to date is around 60%.

Too early to tell and comparisons don't work. Conditions in 1918 were quite different than today and so were 1957/1968 really. Also keep in mind, people go to the hospital when they feel like they're gonna die so the numbers are always going to be higher than what's known. On the flip side, people die and the official diagnosis is never known, especially with old people. With the flu, most people don't die from it. They die when the flu turns into pneumonia.

My feeling at this point is that it's just as contagious as the flu, if not more so and as are as mortality rate, that just varies depending on many things. Italy at 3.1% while Japan at 0.5% seems odd. 3.3% is average but 95% of cases have been in China which is dirty, very poor air quality in the industrial areas, overcrowded and ruled by idiot communists.

81 posted on 02/25/2020 12:39:30 PM PST by Pollard (If you don't understand what I typed, you haven't read the classics.)
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To: Pollard

Just a thought. Could the variation in mortality between Italy and Japan be linked to Italy’s high immigration rate?


88 posted on 02/25/2020 2:22:11 PM PST by lastchance (Credo.)
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