Posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
Most cases are not life-threatening, which is also what makes the virus a historic challenge to contain
(big snip)
The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch is exacting in his diction, even for an epidemiologist. Twice in our conversation he started to say something, then paused and said, Actually, let me start again. So its striking when one of the points he wanted to get exactly right was this: I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.
Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses...
(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...
That's correct for those neither dead nor recovered as of the last row on the table. We don't know whether they will recover or die. That's also why they don't figure in the developing death rate in the last column. Once the virus has run its course, all those afflicted will be either recovered or dead.
I had the flu a couple of years ago. Thought I would die. Sick in bed for 3 months. Took 3 courses of antibiotics and steroids. Took almost a year to get over the cough, and to get strong again. Thought I never would.
But the Corona Virus hits mainly elderly Chinese men who have been heavy smokers for years. Least likely to get it = Caucasian women. Caucasian men are next group of least likely. Most likely Chinese men. Then Women.
I like to hear that I’m in the second least likely group.
Your experience with flu is far worse than anything I had, and yet, mine was bad enough that I don’t want it again. For me it was 3 days of hell, feeling like I was going to die, and wishing I would. After that, I was weak for another 10 days or so, that was it.
FYI, Dr. Richard Harris, MD is the “Chief of Infectious Diseases” at Houston’s Methodist Hospital Center.
(Dr. Harris is also the personal physician of J.C. Watts & “the team doctor” of the Houston Texans NFL team.)
He was on WOAI AM Radio tonight for about an hour & said that Covid-19 is likely LESS lethal than the common Flu.
(About 30-40,000 people in China die each Winter from the common flu.)
He also said that even in China that the percentage of deaths from the virus is likely less than ONE PERCENT of those persons, who actually go to a doctor.= He said that the vast majority of people, that get the virus, are never sick enough to even go to a doctor & recover from the virus without any medical care whatever.
(Of course, if you are the ONE in 100 people, who dies from the virus, the percentage of lethality for you is 100%.)
Yours, TMN78247
FYI, Dr. Richard Harris, MD is the “Chief of Infectious Diseases” at Houston’s Methodist Hospital Center.
(Dr. Harris is also the personal physician of J.C. Watts & “the team doctor” of the Houston Texans NFL team.)
He was on WOAI AM Radio tonight for about an hour & said that Covid-19 is likely LESS lethal than the common Flu.
(About 30-40,000 people in China die each Winter from the common flu.)
He also said that even in China that the percentage of deaths from the virus is likely less than ONE PERCENT of those persons, who actually go to a doctor.= He said that the vast majority of people, that get the virus, are never sick enough to even go to a doctor & recover from the virus without any medical care whatever.
(Of course, if you are the ONE in 100 people, who dies from the virus, the percentage of lethality for you is 100%.)
Yours, TMN78247
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