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Trump Administration Plans to Raise Seasonal-Worker Cap
The Wall Street Journal ^ | 20 Feb 2020 | Michelle Hackman

Posted on 02/21/2020 12:38:49 PM PST by Theoria

The Trump administration plans to allow 45,000 additional seasonal guest workers to return to the U.S. this summer, the highest number since the president took office, according to three administration officials.

The Department of Homeland Security plans to announce the additional seasonal-worker visas next week, an administration official said. They will become available in two waves: the first 20,000 will be immediately available, while employers can apply for the remainder for jobs beginning June 1.

It wasn’t clear whether the White House has fully signed off on the numbers, and an administration official cautioned they could change.

The additional visas are being made available ahead of the summer, when demand for short-term work is typically highest.

Acting Homeland Security Secretary Chad Wolf “has made no decision yet on the issue,” a DHS spokesperson said. “Any numbers reported on at this time are being pushed to press by junior staff who are not privy to all of the discussions taking place.”

The seasonal worker program, known as the H-2B visa program, enables U.S. employers to hire as many as 66,000 foreign workers a year, with the allotments split evenly between the winter and summer seasons. Congress permits the Department of Homeland Security each year to raise that cap by as many as 64,000 additional visas.

In Mr. Trump’s first two years in office, DHS raised the cap by 15,000 visas to 81,000, and last year it raised the cap by 30,000 to 96,000.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: agriculture; americanswontdo; anchorbaby; corporatewelfare; economy; guestworkers; hireamerican; immigration; jebonomics; maralago; migrantworkers; trumpdhs; visa; welfarestate
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To: semimojo
In the 20 years since that study we've implemented child tax credits that in constant dollars are more than 20 times that size. The fertility rate has continued to decline. [...] what good is a model that's proven it can't survive contact with the real world?

Multivariate. Go look it up. Or don't and continue to make a fool of yourself.

121 posted on 02/24/2020 9:24:37 AM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree
Multivariate. Go look it up.

Can you just state what you think?

The correlation the paper found between child friendly tax incentives and the fertility rate obviously didn't bear out going forward.

Do you think it's because they didn't consider the other variables that affect fertility rate or because they considered and/or improperly weighted the wrong variables?

122 posted on 02/24/2020 10:57:05 AM PST by semimojo
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To: semimojo
Do you think it's because they didn't consider the other variables that affect fertility rate

It's YOU who keep doing that, to which I keep pointing out that only a multivariate analysis is appropriate; the authors explicitly named several variables that they included (you can find that list at your link as well as mine).

Your link finds a weaker relationship when newer data is included, and somewhat weaker still when other child tax benefits are included. They conclude that the relationship is "not statistically significant" using a standard approach that treats 'no relationship' as the default (null hypothesis); without that debatable assumption, the actual size of the relationship they find is about a third what the earlier authors did - which would mean that an increase in tax value of child benefits of $440 would (all else held equal) get us at least back to replacement level, and $1800 at least back to our circa-1960 peak.

123 posted on 02/24/2020 12:42:29 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: Theoria

Very disappointing. Raise wages and pay Americans to work.


124 posted on 02/24/2020 12:44:59 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Hot Tabasco

I have no issues with seasonal workers coming and going home....


125 posted on 02/24/2020 12:46:08 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: Alberta's Child
Employers can't find temporary workers during their peak summer season because the are unwilling to pay wages high enough to attract Americans to work.

Fixed it.

126 posted on 02/24/2020 12:47:01 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: livius
Good. A lot of stuff, ranging from construction to harvesting, has been held up by lack of laborers. As long as they’re vetted and legal, it sounds like a great idea.

Sounds like you are Free Traitor™.

PAY MORE!!!!

127 posted on 02/24/2020 12:48:21 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: livius
There simply aren’t enough American workers willing to do labor at the wages being offered.

Stuff you globalist BS. "Jobs Americans won't do for 3rd world wages" Bump.

128 posted on 02/24/2020 12:51:19 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: 9YearLurker

There is a huge segment of the GOP who think wages for Americans can’t be driven low enough. They are like dog sh!t stuck to our shoes stinking up the place.


129 posted on 02/24/2020 12:53:58 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Rebelbase
“The locals would rather stay home than work for the pay being offered”.

Fixed it.

130 posted on 02/24/2020 12:55:23 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: NobleFree

The worst thing about last 30 years of globalism is the loss of respect for the US wage earner. Somehow they became the enemy.


131 posted on 02/24/2020 12:58:02 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Hot Tabasco
You may have taught them but my Tier I auto stamping company tried to hire them.

They weren't offering enough money. Slavery died 150 years ago in case you didn't know.

132 posted on 02/24/2020 1:00:20 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Hot Tabasco

Change your name to Hot Idiot.


133 posted on 02/24/2020 1:01:16 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Hot Tabasco

What sets the price of anything? The law of supply and demand. You should read up on it you idiot.


134 posted on 02/24/2020 1:03:08 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: trebb
Raising wages/benefits for part time labor would also raise the cost of food - and get a whole new set of folks whining.

Wow, let them. We are talking a mere pennies on the dollar.

135 posted on 02/24/2020 1:07:42 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: NobleFree
...I keep pointing out that only a multivariate analysis is appropriate; the authors explicitly named several variables that they included...

Such an analysis is only as good as the variables considered.

We have proof that their projections were wildly off so I guess we can conclude they considered the wrong variables.

...the actual size of the relationship they find is about a third what the earlier authors did...

The important part of what they found was the tax incentives affected the timing of births but not the overall number in the medium to long term.

"...which would mean that an increase in tax value of child benefits of $440 would (all else held equal) get us at least back to replacement level, and $1800 at least back to our circa-1960 peak.

Wait. On the one hand you claim a multivariate analysis but the conclusions only hold if "all else held equal"?

Look, whatever they considered their conclusions simply don't hold in the real world.

We've provided much bigger tax incentives than they say are necessary and the rate hasn't improved.

136 posted on 02/24/2020 2:25:44 PM PST by semimojo
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To: central_va
They weren't offering enough money. Slavery died 150 years ago in case you didn't know.

LOL! You forgot your sarcasm tag...........

137 posted on 02/24/2020 2:38:49 PM PST by Hot Tabasco (I want an impeachment pen)
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To: central_va
They weren't offering enough money. Slavery died 150 years ago in case you didn't know.

So $17.00 per hour for summer time employment in a manufacturing plant that also included overtime is considered "Slave Wages"..........?????

We know what side of the aisle you're coming from don't we?......................

Change your name to Hot Idiot.

Change YOUR name to Mr. Dunmbass..........

138 posted on 02/24/2020 2:44:35 PM PST by Hot Tabasco (I want an impeachment pen)
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To: Hot Tabasco
So $17.00 per hour for summer time employment in a manufacturing plant that also included overtime is considered "Slave Wages"..........?????

I only want to pay $2.00/pound for ground beef. For some reason I can't get any at the price.

dear clueless, you only get to set prices in Communist countries for labor. This is the USA pay more and you will get more people for the job. Try $20. Then $22. etc. Get it? Its called a FREE MARKET.

139 posted on 02/24/2020 3:06:48 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va
This is the USA pay more and you will get more people for the job. Try $20. Then $22. etc. Get it? Its called a FREE MARKET.

Apparently your "Free Market" isn't willing to pay those $20, then $22 for the jobs that you haven't mentioned....You just contradicted yourself. Nice try .......LOL!

140 posted on 02/24/2020 3:33:43 PM PST by Hot Tabasco (I want an impeachment pen)
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