It looks like Hubei province changed their reporting status to match other provinces. If so, then other provinces when they report shouldn’t have any dramatic increases. We’ll see.
The reported cases now include “clinical diagnosis”. That sounds like cases without a test or the test says negative, but doctors think its COVID-19 based on symptoms.
I read a recent article that the COVID-19 tests in China are of poor quality. CT exams of lungs for a patient would show the virus but the test would come back negative.
13,332 cases out of 14,840 were added because of clinical diagnosis. That means about 1500 cases based on positive test results. It appears the 13,332 wasn’t for just 1 day, but range over several days. How many days is unclear. We can probably assume 1-2 weeks. That means this is a huge 1 day jump. The numbers tomorrow will go back down substantially.
How many days is unclear. We can probably assume 1-2 weeks.
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On Tuesday, Hubei province reported the lowest number of new cases in quite a while, but using the new criteria, they actually had 6,528 new cases on Tuesday, not 1,638
Probably back to 3K/day range in Hubei.
The Doubling of Deaths is concerning. I doubt they weren’t counting deaths because they didn’t use the “official” test kit before they died, but I guess anything is possible in China.
Probably back to 3K/day range in Hubei.
The Doubling of Deaths is concerning. I doubt they weren’t counting deaths because they didn’t use the “official” test kit before they died, but I guess anything is possible in China.
So a nasal or throat swab won't necessarily pick up much virus, until amplification...and by then the patient is often *really* sick (20-30% are hospitalized; I think 30% or so of those are sent to the ICU; 15%-20% of those IN THE ICU end up dying.)
More or less, and not allowing for those welded into their apartment homes or shepherded into hastily constructed containment camps, or those who suddenly *drop down dead* on the street.