Is there a page that shows something different than what is on the widely referred to Johns Hopkins page? On that page, they show for Hubei 48,206 confirmed cases, 1,310 deaths, just under 3% rather than 30%.
Artie Ojeda
@ArtieNBCSD
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6m
Ominous Video from MCAS Miramar. Right now, crews in full protective gear are going into the designated medical area at the base. Vid provided by quarantined evacuee. Waiting to hear from CDC to find it exactly what’s going on. No Confirmed new cases of Coronavirus. #nbc7
https://twitter.com/ArtieNBCSD/status/1228023525211955200
Is there a page that shows something different than what is on the widely referred to Johns Hopkins page? On that page, they show for Hubei 48,206 confirmed cases, 1,310 deaths, just under 3% rather than 30%.
The mortality rate calculation is ‘what is the final resolution of all those who have been infected’, or ‘what is the final resolution of those who have been admitted to the hospital”, or some other specified criteria. It is not the number who have died so far divided by an exponentially increasing number of infected. Thus (with the reporting caveats) while the epidemic is ongoing, the number is not deaths/infected, but rather deaths/resolved case.
If you were to replace “Coronavirus” with “Ricin”, and inject 100 people with a dose which would kill 100% in a week, then every day double the number of people you give the injection, after one week you would have a fatality/injection ratio of 0.8% (100/12,700), for a 100% fatal toxin.
Without information subdivided by cohort, the closest you can get is dead/(dead + recovered), which is 1310/(1310 + 3459)=27.47%, which I rounded to 30% as the number has bounced up and down around 30% for several days.