I addressed this in the post you’re responding to.
I consider the cruise ship to be an outlier.
Technically you’re fairly accurate, but this wasn’t a typical infection scenario. You have a group trapped in an infected environment. I’ve removed it from the data for analysis. It was an atypical situation.
In normal social circles around the planet, since the sixth through the current time, that number grew from 310 to 398. I gave an example of what the global growth was in that range. There’s a clear difference.
The growth of 310 to 398 is till worthy of being alarmed at, but it is still not exponential in scope.
The global scenario was a typical exponential growth situation.
I’m not sure what the CDC is up to. I went there a few days ago looking for some definitive comments, and came away without much.
I haven’t studied the mortality rate in various regions of China. I would like to believe you are correct there.
There is a prisoner in England who has the virus and had been in prison for several weeks there before presenting the illness. He did not get it in China as he has not been there. He got it in a Taiwanese prison. Taiwan says they have 18 infected. I would tell you countries have decided to not cause panic by sharing real numbers.
India says they have 3 cases but have supposedly sent a couple of thousand home to self quarantine. Do they have the ability to even test? I saw the cell phone map of 50,000 of the 5mil who left Wuhan for the Chinese New Year. Every country has a huge problem. Those people have been staying in hotels or with relatives. Wuhan before the Chinese New Year was the perfect place to set this thing off whether on accident or purpose.