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Coronavirus expert says he knows when the virus 'will burn itself out,' according to leaked analysis
AccuWeather ^ | feb.11, 2020 5:46 PM | By Mark Puleo,AccuWeather staff writer

Posted on 02/12/2020 5:36:11 AM PST by 11th_VA

With the death toll climbing each day, fear and uncertainty have spread farther and farther around the globe as coronavirus continues to captivate the world’s attention. However, John Nicholls, a pathology professor at the University of Hong Kong, says he knows when the virus will become inactive.

In a private conference call organized last week by CLSA, a brokerage firm based in Hong Kong, investment analysts had a chance to ask Nicholls, one of the world's foremost experts on the topic, questions about the novel coronavirus. News of the private conference call was first reported by The Financial Times, and in the days since the call, more details of Nicholls' analysis have surfaced on social media and elsewhere online, including a transcript of the call.

The transcript of the call showed Nicholls believes weather conditions will be a key factor in the demise of the novel coronavirus. Referencing the SARS outbreak from 2002 and 2003, Nicholls said he thinks similar weather factors will also shut down the spread of the novel coronavirus.

"Three things the virus does not like: 1. Sunlight, 2. Temperature, and 3. Humidity," Nicholls said in response to a question about when he thinks confirmed cases will peak, the transcript showed.

"Sunlight will cut the virus' ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it's about 13 to 20 [minutes]," Nicholls said. "Sunlight is really good at killing viruses."

For that reason, he also added that he doesn't expect areas such as Australia, Africa and the Southern hemisphere to see high rates of infection because they are in the middle of summer...

(Excerpt) Read more at accuweather.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; coronavirus; covid19; disease
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"The virus can remain intact at 4 degrees (39 degrees Fahrenheit) or 10 degrees (50 F) for a longer period of time," Nicholls said, referring to Celsius measurements, according to the transcript. "But at 30 degrees (86 degrees F) then you get inactivation. And high humidity -- the virus doesn't like it either," he added, the transcript of the call showed.
1 posted on 02/12/2020 5:36:11 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

I love experts. They believe they are never wrong.


2 posted on 02/12/2020 5:38:20 AM PST by no-to-illegals ( Liberals, leftists, Rinos, moslems, illegals, lamestream media. All want America to fail and die)
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To: 11th_VA

Haven’t heard anything from South America, South Africa. Australia and Antarctica.


3 posted on 02/12/2020 5:39:38 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 11th_VA
Presidents Trump and Xi have a feeling the coronavirus will stop once the weather heats up.

Dr. Rebecca Katz, the director of the Center for Global Health Studies at Georgetown University, said that there is too much we don’t know before making a generalization like that.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), however, appears in concordance with Trump, and recommends preventing catching of the coronavirus by using “a room humidifier” or “taking a hot shower.”

4 posted on 02/12/2020 5:40:41 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

We’ll see if cases show a downward trend once spring sets in.


5 posted on 02/12/2020 5:43:03 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: no-to-illegals
I love experts. They believe they are never wrong.

I've learned to trust the Magic 8-Ball over "expert opinions".

The good ol' 8-Ball has a better track record.

6 posted on 02/12/2020 5:44:11 AM PST by SIDENET (ISAIAH 5:20)
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To: 11th_VA

He is basically making educated guesses based on previous coronavirus behavior. Not all coronaviruses behave the same way.

As far as I know, the coronavirus that kills cats is not seasonal.


7 posted on 02/12/2020 5:44:29 AM PST by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
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To: 11th_VA

Looking forward to summer here in Phoenix for once.


8 posted on 02/12/2020 5:45:03 AM PST by riri
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To: exDemMom

Flu viruses are typically seasonal. If there’s a break from the pattern, we’ll soon know.


9 posted on 02/12/2020 5:46:13 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: no-to-illegals

Never mind the reasoning, just attack the person.


10 posted on 02/12/2020 5:46:22 AM PST by Moonman62 (Charity comes from wealth.)
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To: exDemMom

He seems to be addressing this particular virus:

“Three things the virus does not like: 1. Sunlight, 2. Temperature, and 3. Humidity,” Nicholls said in response to a question about when he thinks confirmed cases will peak, the transcript showed.

“Sunlight will cut the virus’ ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it’s about 13 to 20 [minutes],” Nicholls said. “Sunlight is really good at killing viruses.”


11 posted on 02/12/2020 5:47:12 AM PST by Moonman62 (Charity comes from wealth.)
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To: 11th_VA

Weatherman claim to be ‘experts’ too. Enough said?


12 posted on 02/12/2020 5:47:31 AM PST by Bitman
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To: 11th_VA

Is that why China is building 100,000 new beds?


13 posted on 02/12/2020 5:47:55 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: 11th_VA

Can’t even get to the AccuWeather web site now


14 posted on 02/12/2020 5:49:02 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
"Nicholls' comments, while made privately, represent the most definitive tie to the weather a health expert has made yet."

Huh?? They're called COLDS. The name didn't come from "health experts" it came from the people who get them. It happens in the COLD!

15 posted on 02/12/2020 5:50:55 AM PST by norwaypinesavage (Calm down and enjoy the ride, great things are happening for our country)
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To: TigerClaws

Just a precaution. Better safe than sorry.


16 posted on 02/12/2020 5:51:04 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: riri

I was thinking the same thing!


17 posted on 02/12/2020 5:53:14 AM PST by hsmomx3
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To: Moonman62

Sounds reasonable to me! / S


18 posted on 02/12/2020 5:53:28 AM PST by refermech
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To: 11th_VA

Just more hysteria from the same crowd that said in 2014 that Ebola was going to wipe out Africa. Then as soon as the midterms were over... poof, it disappeared.


19 posted on 02/12/2020 5:53:44 AM PST by Trump20162020
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To: 11th_VA
"But at 30 degrees (86 degrees F) then you get inactivation"

The virus seems to really like 98.8 F.

20 posted on 02/12/2020 5:54:01 AM PST by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's fore sure)
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