Posted on 02/07/2020 3:38:07 AM PST by Kaslin
By the end of February, the race for the Democratic nomination may have come down to a choice of one of three white men.
Two are well into their 70s, and either would be the oldest president ever inaugurated. The third is a 38-year-old gay man in a same-sex marriage who would be our youngest president ever.
How is it possible, if not probable, that Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg will be the last three Democrats standing?
Consider what the Iowa caucuses produced -- after the Democrats figured out how to count votes.
Sanders won the popular vote on both the first and second ballots. As of Thursday, with 547 state delegates, he was only three shy of Buttigieg's total. And the caucus yet to report is in Sanders country.
By week's end, Sanders could be the declared winner of Iowa. And though he was denied the bounce he would have gotten if that news had been posted Monday night, Sanders raised $25 million in January and is running a clear first in the latest New Hampshire polls.
If Sanders, with cash on hand unmatched by any rival, save billionaire Bloomberg, wins the Granite State, he becomes the progressives' champion over rival Elizabeth Warren and is in the race all the way to the convention.
Consider the prospects of Mayor Pete.
Even before the first returns were reported in Iowa, he declared his campaign "victorious" and left for New Hampshire. By Wednesday, after two-thirds of the ballots had been counted, he appeared to have won the battle for delegates.
By Thursday, in the latest polls of New Hampshire, Buttigieg had vaulted into second place. As of now, it looks like a Buttigieg-Sanders race in New Hampshire on Tuesday, with the big losers from Iowa -- Warren, Joe Biden and Amy Klobuchar -- the big losers again.
If the trends do not change and polls do not shift over the weekend, former Vice President Joe Biden appears headed for another "gut punch" like the one he says he suffered in Iowa.
And Biden may not get up off the canvas after this one.
Thursday, the Boston Globe/Suffolk and WHDH/Emerson polls both showed Sanders beating Biden like a drum, better than two-to-one.
Moreover, Biden's fundraising has fallen off, and it is unlikely major donors are going to send cash to a candidate who just ran fourth in Iowa and could run fourth or fifth in New Hampshire.
Buttigieg is the candidate whose stock is rising. He has surged to second place, just six points and 10 points behind Sanders in the two latest New Hampshire polls, while Biden is lagging a distant 13 and 19 points behind Sanders.
Now, consider Klobuchar. As a senator from Minnesota, she was expected to do well, indeed, her personal best, in the neighboring state of Iowa. She ran fifth. And though she has the endorsement of the leading newspaper in New Hampshire, the Union-Leader, she, too, is trailing Sanders in the latest polls by more than three-to-one.
If Klobuchar runs fifth in Iowa and third, fourth or fifth in New Hampshire, in what state does she win her first primary? And as her fundraising has never matched that of the front-runners, where does she get the money to match Sanders or Bloomberg on Super Tuesday, now just three weeks off?
Klobuchar is now in the second tier in New Hampshire, behind Sanders and Buttigieg, but right alongside Biden and Warren. A third-, fourth- or fifth-place finish would be near-fatal for them all.
As for Warren, in her battle with Sanders to emerge as the champion of the progressive wing of the party, her third-place finish in Iowa, and her expected third-place finish in New Hampshire, at best, would seem to settle that issue for this election.
Sanders beat Warren in Iowa, raised far more money in January than she did, and is now beating her two-and-three-to one in the New Hampshire polls.
So, again, the same question is raised. Is what state does Elizabeth Warren beat her progressive rival?
There are two more lingering questions.
If Biden is thrashed in New Hampshire on Tuesday, as he was in Iowa, does he remain viable in South Carolina, where he was so strong before the New Year?
Will African American voters in South Carolina stick by Biden and his claim to be "the most electable" Democrat if he has been floored twice by Sanders and by Buttigieg, and can't seem to win within his own party?
What I wrote before Iowa seems even more true today:
"If Bernie can beat Biden two or three times in the first four primary states in February, the last remaining roadblock on Bernie's path to the nomination could be Mike Bloomberg's billions."
The Socialist vs. The Billionaire. Could either really beat The Donald?
(Even our side is already putting Bloomberg on the final list?)
Cheat Butt is the CIA candidate and he apparently has the Obama team and operators behind him now (they are the ones who stole Iowa for him). Hard to imagine Bloomie couldn’t get behind him with his billions if he is seen as the one to beat Trump.
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I saw TV ads in Minnesota recently which had Hussein personally touting Big Gulp banning Mini Mike. I’m sure Hussein would love to have Butt Plug as the candidate, as he swung both ways. Personally, I love the fact that Hussein won’t even back his own former hair sniffing Vice President.
Hair sniffing is putting it too mildly and Joe was only in as a ruse for the impeachment case.
I didn’t know that about O and Bloomie, but it makes sense. Always suck up to the guy worth $70B who says he might drop a few bill in the upcoming political race.
It’s one big political scam on their part. With their 23 initial candidates I expect they thought they catch the magic of everyone tuning in to watch Trump on the debate stage with all those GOP political midgets. Not only were they missing Trump, of course, but also his political positions!
The Democrats threw Joe under the bus — as was the plan along with getting Trump...
“Cheat Butt is the CIA candidate and he apparently has the Obama team and operators behind him now (they are the ones who stole Iowa for him).”
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You should watch your language regarding Butt Plug. Saying that the Obama team is behind him might make his husband jealous. LOL
Ha! Seriously check out the husband of the female CEO of “Shadow”, the Soros-funded Iowa caucus app company started a few months ago: Now on Pete’s staff, he was an Obama operative all the way from back in IL.
I share your concern. But not to the point of worry.
When conservatives examine and evaluate things they approach it like normal ration beings. But dhimmicrats are not normal and certainly not rational. What we’ve seen thus far has looked like speed-dating. The left is flitting from one lousy candidate to another and then yet another. They aren’t settling and I believe that is because (even if they won’t admit it) they instinctively realize that all of their candidates suck.
But all it will take is the proper Obi-Wan Kenobi to assure them that “These are not the droids you’re looking for” and they will mindlessly fall into line for the final vote. That’s the thing about lefties - they are lemming-like followers. The question is which loser will they be forced to vote for?
Because they’ve already rejected all the current players (to one degree or another) they are allowing room for the dark horse players to ride in and save the day. How thoughtful and strategic is that?!
And true to form, here come the ultimate losers - bloomin-idiot, Skerry, and (egads!) the Hildebeast! The part that I am relishing is that you have to know that every one of them is secretly scared shytless of Trump. Let the games begin!
Ha! Seriously check out the husband of the female CEO of “Shadow”, the Soros-funded Iowa caucus app company started a few months ago: Now on Pete’s staff, he was an Obama operative all the way from back in IL.
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The fraud, corruption and political interbreeding is impressive. Should we expect anything less of Democrats?
We certainly have ours too, but theirs outnumber ours and theirs are far better at it!
The only effective plan to deal with it was to have regulated the e-utilities like Facebook, Twitter and Google.
That was not done. As a result, the rights and freedoms of conservative Americans has been stripped away. Further, the chances grow greater day by day that the next fraudulent and rigged election will be successful.
You have it backwards. Hillary and the DNC are gladly accepting his millions. She will reward him by selecting him as veep.
If Bloomberg manages to swoop in and buy the nomination, how many Bernie supporters will vote for him and how many will stay home?
We certainly have ours too, but theirs outnumber ours and theirs are far better at it!
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Mittens Romney is our latest “star” of political skullduggery. Right now, I despise him more than any democrat. What a snake! Then he “predicts” he will be persecuted by his own party. Romney has outdone John McCain, and I didn’t think that was possible.
Which is why Biden spent yesterday huddled with "advisors" in Delaware yesterday, no campaigning in NH. If he doesn't win tonight's debate and throw two knockout punches to Sanders and Buttguy, he will be forced to strategize his withdrawal from the race, certainly after NV and SC.
Sounds like a sci-fi novel about a dystopian future where American society’s liberal political choices are between a Communist, a queer and a senile billionaire.
No, Buttigieg would be a dud as a nominee for the Democrats, but Blacks and Hispanics are also showing little enthusiasm for elderly white candidates such as Biden, Sanders, Warren, and Bloomberg. Moreover, Trumps’s success, conservative values, and male energy are attractive to many traditional Blacks and Hispanics. For Democrats this year, the internal fractures and contradictions of their coalition are proving hard to paper over. We may be watching the early stages of the collapse of the Democratic Party’s 2020 national campaign.
Nobody ever would be foolish enough to have Hillary for a Vice PResident.
My thinking as well. If they can't get a Latino or Black, at least they can get a female retread for VP.
If that goes through, what are the chances of Bloomberg "committing suicide" or having an "accident"? (God help the poor security guys)
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