So far, containment has worked outside of China. We think.
But your numbers are old. Your math is flawed.
Look at that Japanese cruise ship. 20 positives on the first pass. 41 more on the next pass - if I am not mistaken, those people tested negative first time around. And that’s in a contained, quarantined environment, with a limited number of potential hosts. Out in the wild, the virus would spread much more rapidly.
No news out of Africa or Central America, where the Chinese have a significant presence. I wonder what’s going on there.
In the end, “oh, it’s just another flu” is going to look very, very foolish. It’s NOT the flu and it has significantly different characteristics.
“And that’s in a contained, quarantined environment, with a limited number of potential hosts. “
That’s what you think a cruise ship is like?
“No news out of Africa or Central America, where the Chinese have a significant presence. I wonder what’s going on there.”
Nothing is. Unless you seriously think there is some outbreak being skillfully hidden in Africa of all places.
“In the end, “oh, it’s just another flu” is going to look very, very foolish. It’s NOT the flu and it has significantly different characteristics”
All this based on an apparent belief that a communist dictatorship of over a billion, mostly poor, people was going to be the LAST place this level of FUBAR could happen?
And highlighting the flawed math would also be helpful.
The fact is, we can either be heedless, panic, or reasonable. I get the problem and that we should not bury our heads in the sand. Yet, when I see people pushing a climate change-like panic over coronavirus in the US that is equally void of facts but equally packed with specious assumptions, we should call a time out.
Is it your belief that the dozen cases we have (and the however many undiagnosed cases) will lead to hundereds of thousands of dead on our shores?
You never been on or know much about cruise ships what a bonehead
“...with a limited number of potential hosts>”
I read somewhere that there was one guy from Wuhan, got sick with the virus. They think he was the start of it all. Will make for an interesting case study for sure.
And perhaps it will help them figure out more about this virus, and quickly, to fight it.