[calenel]

This season, the flu has killed 10,000 dead out of 19,000,000. 0.05%. Lower than the usual 0.1%. The flu has a reservoir of hosts in the general populace at any time of millions, so we know what to expect, year after year.

The Wu Han Virus has killed only 638 out of some 31,372 confirmed cases (based on the CCP’s questionable numbers, but we’ll go with those for now). 2.0%. Of the resolved cases, 29% have died and 71% have recovered. There is no reservoir of hosts, every case is new exposure.

This is no joke. Be vigilant. Make sure you and your family have supplies and can hunker down in your house for a month. Or longer. Don’t panic, but don’t make light of the situation.

[fuente]

In the end, it will have a kill rate of 10%-20%. Deaths lag infections. It takes 10-14days between infection and death. Look at the deaths today, verses the infections 10-140days ago. That ratio is between 10%-20%. That is the real story.

[FoundinTexas]

Reports are that even if you recover, you can get it again. Most people recover from the regular flu in a week. This Coronavirus has people sick for weeks. It must be weeks. If you have so few recovered and less than a thousand dead, everyone else on the confirmed list has it. Some of those people would have had to have been sick for weeks.

[Svartalfiar]

A bunch of you have the numbers waaaaay below what they are. Calenel's post came the closest to acutally getting it:

The reported death rate of the Coronavirus is 2.5%, meaning that if the same number of people catch the more highly contagious Coronavirus, the number of deaths will be: 22,500,000 x .026 = 585,000.

In China, the corona virus is killing 2.0% of the people who catch it.
In other words - the corona virus is killing TEN TIMES more infected people in China than influenza kills infected people in the USA.

I guess this means a virus with a 2% death rate that very few have been exposed to is no threat to anyone.

Seriously - for those who just think it's the flu - here are more stats: The flu has a death rate of .3%....this death rate near 2-3%.

This assumes we are getting the correct numbers from China. It could be much worse than 2%.

coronavirus death rate = 565/28,000 = 0.0201785714286

***The Wu Han Virus has killed only 638 out of some 31,372 confirmed cases (based on the CCP’s questionable numbers, but we’ll go with those for now). 2.0%. Of the resolved cases, 29% have died and 71% have recovered. There is no reservoir of hosts, every case is new exposure.***

That is a mortality rate of 29%. That is a HUGE number, and can only go higher as we discover more of the real numbers as opposed to the Chinese official numbers. Just think, if that is what China is officially admitting to, what could the real numbers actually be?

The reason all of y'all's numbers are incorrectly low is you're using the wrong dividend. Mortality rate is based on deaths and recoveries amongst those who have run the course of the disease. The massive number of infected people is NOT part of the mortality rate!

Deaths / Infected = USELESS NUMBER
Deaths / (Deaths + Recoveries) = Mortality Rate