“I am not convinced this is a pandemic level event because it’s just not that lethal.”
Diseases are getting listed as pandemic by how fast they become global. A high mortality rate isn’t always part of it. It’s more about how infectious it is.
2019-nCoV is spreading globally at a very fast rate so WHO and CDC are calling it a pandemic.
Their preferred rule is to “get ugly early” and treat a fast moving disease as dangerous. Because if you guess wrong the other way you have no chance of stopping it.
DATE CASES INCR INCR % 28th 87 22 33.85% 29th 105 18 20.69% 30th 118 13 12.38% 31st 153 35 29.66% -1st 177 24 15.69% -2nd 183 6 03.39%I agree that the numbers inside China are alarming in their explosion.
If we looked at the seasonal flu, we have numbers that dwarf these by ten to twenty times or more. Who knows where these numbers will wind up, but we don't term the flu a pandemic. It's mortality rate is higher than this.
While I do think health organizations have to be out front on things like this, I'm not convinced there's a lot to be gained by using alarming language. There's nothing the public can do about it.
Why are they going so crazy over this? They don't over the flu. They don't try to scare the holy hell out of people when it's the flu.
Saw that word intentional in there, and meant to change it to international and didn’t. Thought I had.
Oh well.
Take care.
“get ugly early” I’ve done that at a bar or two. Or was it “Go ugly early?”