Posted on 01/31/2020 2:13:09 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Experts reveal why it’s causing panic anyway.
Maybe because actions speak louder than words, and if the ChiComs opt to lock down a 100 million of their own people and then shut down interprovincial communication they probably view it as something several magnitudes more serious than acne, whatever the experts maybe saying. And likely they have more knowledge than the “experts”
One waits a couple of weeks, in order to get a real estimate of the death/recovery rate. Its almost impossible to do in the early stages of an outbreak, because the newly discovered infected outweigh those who have been through the disease and therapy process, for better or worse.
That scared me to death. I had my son get a flu shot just to discern Ebola from likely flu as fast as possible.
Luckily we have very advanced hospitals which quarantined the few who got it so it did not spread and they eventually recovered. It was hellish, though...major hospital arrangements for weeks just for one patient. The rate on Ebola was very high, so yes, it scared me to death.
Chinese doctors tell a different story. The virus is overwhelming the local healthcare industry. So it appears the numbers provided by China are low. We have thousands of deaths every year from flu. And China has hundreds with a population 4 times larger. So you can assume this thing is a magnitude X 4 larger than China is saying.
The chicoms going batshit is what caught my notice last week.
Never seen that before.
“Somehow, even that did not spread and mushroom in high fatalities inside the United States. Ebola can kill very quickly under certain conditions.”
You answered your own question!
The sick person became sick so fast, immobilized (bedridden) and died before they could infect too many people.
The Chinese gal that went to Germany - I think it is 6 people now at that company are infected? And as far as I know, the gal still isn’t showing symptoms.
These numbers don't add up.Most of the 11,145 neither died nor recovered. What happened to them.
Oops, I see the new figures are out.
The quality of the numbers can’t be assessed with certainty at this point, but they look to be mediocre to junk. That comparison does have some logic to it.
What happened to them.
still in hospitals
In the 2018-2019 flu season, there were an estimated 45,000,000 cases of infection with the flu, resulting in 21,000,000 hospital visits, 810,000 hospital admissions, and 61,000 deaths.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html
A lot. And 25-30% of patients in critical condition or nearly so. Not a picnic.
They are in process and will eventually end up in one of those two categories. The question is “what will happen to them.” Given the current ratio, it looks bad to be in the daisy raising business, as the market will likely be glutted for some time to come.
“Low mortality rate.”
More people are dying from it than recovering from it.
The chicoms going batshit is what caught my notice last week.
Never seen that before.
Yeah. I fell asleep to Agenda Free TV about a week ago, and woke up at 3 in the morning to hear it announced that PRIVATE vehicle usage had been banned in Wuhan and the no travel order had reached a 100 million.
At that point I started stockpiling rice. It will last a long time, and rice plus a good supply of canned tomatoes and firewood can make me sleep easier.
In some ways it helps to be in the middle of nowhere, but it is harder to stock up.
The chicoms going batshit is what caught my notice last week.
Never seen that before.
Yeah. I fell asleep to Agenda Free TV about a week ago, and woke up at 3 in the morning to hear it announced that PRIVATE vehicle usage had been banned in Wuhan and the no travel order had reached a 100 million.
At that point I started stockpiling rice. It will last a long time, and rice plus a good supply of canned tomatoes and firewood can make me sleep easier.
In some ways it helps to be in the middle of nowhere, but it is harder to stock up.
The point is, it is early in the cycle and using the 2.2% figure is misleading. Without a doubt, the 60% figure is misleading - even assuming China has started telling the truth on their numbers.
The fatality rate is not a very certain number at all in this part of the cycle. While more comforting though, the 2.2% figure and the 60% figure are similarly uncertain, since the 2.2% figure is more based upon the spread rate than it is the actual fatality rate.
Because fatality rate means how many die OUT OF HOW MANY WERE SICK.
It is a new or novel disease and the media need catastrophes to sell eyeballs....
Except it got boring a few days ago....
Consider this: What if it’s a test virus with a relatively harmless payload? And what if they’re testing to see if it infects specific segments of the population?
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