[palmer]

25% - 32% of cases will require hospitalization, and that in the ICU the CFR is 15%

With 2% fatality, the hospital to ICU rate is about 50%. The 2% is probably high, but we don't know yet.

[grey_whiskers]

Yeah, I wish somebody would have done a followup besides that early Lancet paper which showed 11% fatality.
It’d be nice to take a nice cross section of 1000 confirmed patients or so, and get the longitudinal numbers on *them*.