[palmer]

The key is whether there is casual spread or not. It doesn't appear to spread easily given 8 weeks in China with less than 10k confirmed cases. But we don't know the real numbers yet.

[DoughtyOne]

Palmer, I think it has to be spread by casual contact.

I’m sure it spreads within a family. I’m also sure it spreads by casual contact.

For the first person in a family to contract the disease, they’d pretty much have to do it through exposure in public.

All I can do is speculate at this point, but it seems to spread like the flu.

You are addressing the low numbers, but many folks are sure we are being lied to about that (by China). That may be the case.

It would seem these issues could easily be answered by studying the folks outside of China who have contracted the disease.