Posted on 01/30/2020 4:50:16 AM PST by Kaslin
One dead in Manila, so far.
China has already demonstrated that this can be spread by asymptomatic carriers. Or that one can have the virus affecting the lungs, without symptoms. Including for example, a 10 year old boy from an infected family, no fever or anything, who had the characteristic "ground glass" appearance in his lung on X-ray.
Or the doctor who had never been to Wuhan, who caught the disease by sitting at a conference, next to a doctor who *had*.
There’s a claim that researchers in Hong Kong say the number of infections is doubling every 6.2 days, or roughly doubling every week.
At that rate, the number of cases will be around 40 million by early April.
We’ll see.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJr5ZeHIe_M roughly 9 minutes in.
What happened to the Maryland person?
No longer has it or no longer with us?
Just about everyone who is infected could be a non-symptomatic carrier for an interval.
As I asked earlier this week, is there a difference between when someone becomes contagious and when they are symptomatic?
The only information I get is about each factor separately, and not how they are overlapped per case. If people are infectious after 24 hours, but don’t show symptoms for 2 to 14 days, then they will pass fever and cough screenings.
It’s actually starting to look better and better that they have a chance to contain it, but I still don’t think their motives are purely about public safety. Something else is mitigating the measures are being taken.
WHO is suppose to meet today (mid-day Eastern) whether they will rule a worldwide emergency or not. They kinda ‘played their hand’ at the news conference yesterday. They said currently, there is only a ‘yes or no’ option on making the ruling; they wanted a ‘stoplight’ approach, which would allow them a third option - yellow light.
I was wondering where the president was on this. He’s had a task force up and running since Monday. I feel more at ease knowing this. I only hope that none of those assistant secretaries are DS Obama holdovers.
article says 68 tested negative - likely one of those or test result not back yet? people were talking ofpossible infected people in other states too. I doubt it will get big in usa unless some one purposely goes around spreading it.
Yep, CDC continues to be about 2 weeks behind in dealing with Coronavirus - they’re using the template that worked for SARS, except...SARS didn’t spread during incubation, this strain of Coronavirus appears to do just that.
There is not understanding out here, to what an epidemic can be. I lost a ggrandfather to the 1918 flu epidemic. It took about 24 hours to take a healthy farmer of 32, to death. It changed so many lives...
The polio rampage took anyone it chose... everything cancelled one summer.. everything.. and yet people still got it.
Epidemics have a mind all their own.. and today, I’m not sure they are doing enough soon enough. Why bring them in from China? The flu of 1918 was brought to our country by our soldiers and others, coming in from Europe...
It should stay in China.... but it won’t.
The genie is already out of the bottle. The only thing to do now is avoid being around other people.
“There’s a claim that researchers in Hong Kong say the number of infections is doubling every 6.2 days, or roughly doubling every week.”
That seems low, implying a 12% daily increase. The numbers I’ve seen for the past few days is around 30% - meaning a doubling every 2.5 days, and reaching that 40M number a month earlier. We shall see.
*
Except that the opportunity to pass it on has been interrupted or decreased. I will believe it is fading if the numbers go down significantly after the 2 weeks incubation period.
True, hopefully.
What's essential to them is not essential to me. UT Austin (TX) has told undergrads they can't do study/programs in China but graduate students and profs can and whomever gets approval.
The CDC also advised those who have been "self isolated" not stay in crowds too much. Excuse me, if you're isolated, you shouldn't be outside your room much less in crowds. WTH is wrong with these people?
Yeah, WHO is now having to admit they screwed up royally. But they’re not too ashamed to shut things down. They’ll talk and talk and decide to go with the yellow light and nothing changes.
Whoever answered that question this way is not a serious person.
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