“There’s a claim that researchers in Hong Kong say the number of infections is doubling every 6.2 days, or roughly doubling every week.”
That seems low, implying a 12% daily increase. The numbers I’ve seen for the past few days is around 30% - meaning a doubling every 2.5 days, and reaching that 40M number a month earlier. We shall see.
Except that the opportunity to pass it on has been interrupted or decreased. I will believe it is fading if the numbers go down significantly after the 2 weeks incubation period.