I urge people to be prepared for the worst, and try to sit back and wait for the real news to come out.
Some agency running a model predicting a 15% mortality rate up front, that turns out to be a 2.?% mortality rate in the end, does destroy credibility.
Further, anyone providing reasoned information in the ball park that will be sustained, is then referred to as having their head in the sand.
Some of these people running these models, are either mathematicians, a lab, or the medical community. What medical person can make any more sense of that than you and I?
Urging a go slow approach is reasoned.
Are we talking about this article or some other one?