CNN poll: Sanders adds to momentum with lead in New Hampshire; Sanders 25, Biden 16, Buttigieg 15, Warren 12

CNN ^ | 01/26/2020 | Jennifer Agiesta

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Bernie Sanders leads the race for the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.

Overall, 25% of likely Democratic primary voters back the Vermont senator, with former Vice President Joe Biden (16%), former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (15%) and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (12%) battling for second place. Behind these four, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (6%), Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (5%) and businessman Andrew Yang (5%) make up a third tier of candidates.

Sanders' edge in New Hampshire, a state he won by more than 20 points in the 2016 primaries, comes as polling from CNN and others in Iowa and nationally shows him gaining ground. In New Hampshire, he has edged up 4 points since the last CNN/UNH poll there in October. Warren has slid 6 points in that time. Biden holds about even with his October support and Buttigieg has gained 5 points.

As in polling elsewhere, shifting preferences among liberals have changed the dynamic of the race: Sanders has gained 13 points among liberal likely primary voters in New Hampshire while Warren has dropped 7 points. Sanders now holds a clear lead within that group: 39% back him, 21% Warren. The Vermont senator has also made gains since October among women (rising from 19% to 27%), and among registered Democrats (from 20% to 29%).

And when asked who they think will win the primary in New Hampshire, nearly 40% of likely Democratic primary voters name Sanders (39%).

About half (49%) of likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire say they are still deciding on their choice, outweighing the 3 in 10 who are firm in their choice (31%). Another 20% say they are leaning toward their candidate but haven't yet definitely made up

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Any Democratic candidate who has won both the Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary has gone on to be the D nominee.

True. Carter, Gore and Kerry won both and went on to win the nomination. Bill Clinton won neither and managed to win.

If he pulls that off, would they screw him over again?

They'd like to. But if Bernie wins both he will be hard to stop. Democrats will change the procedure for next time.