I would call it almost a win-win. EU gets it’s blood money (the 33-billion pounds). UK gets an open-door to trade talks. The Ireland problem would be fairly settled.
I would suggest that this recession going on in Germany helped to motivate some people. The fact that the remain Tories had played out all their cards and couldn’t hinder this anymore....fell into play. I think the EU has figured out that some member states had agendas going to hinder the EU’s own game...played into the last minute talks.
I’ll predict the Trump team is in the UK by early November, and working on a new trade deal. Things look bright for 2020.
1. It’s not blood money - it’s the remaining dues for the budget cycle that the UK approved in 2013 (7 year budget cycle)
2. The Irish problem isn’t completely settled, but it goes back to it’s vagueness as before
3. Germany isn’t in recession yet - it’s had one negative quarter. A recession is 2 consecutive quarters. It could go into recession, but isn’t there yet
4. It looks like the one concession was on the UK side - about NI. The rest of the deal is exactly the same as Theresa May’s original 2017 deal
5. The Trump team should be in the UK by early november yes, and the UK gets a free trade zone with the USA, but protection for British farmers and pharmaceuticals. At the same time they are into negotiations for the trade deal with the EU.
What the UK gets is taxation without representation.
IOW, indentured servitude.