Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?
“Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?”
The model has been correct every year going back to 1980 - except 2016.
Moody’s Analytics election model predicts Clinton win — though they had it as close.
Actually, they had it as 270-268 Dim win this far out from the last election.
At the link it says:
“The Moodys models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.”
Ooops
“Does anyone know how well this model worked in 2016?”
it’s accurately predicted every presidential election since 1980
https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2019/president-election-model.pdf